Thu, 23th of April, 2009

By Setyo Wibowo (analyst@fxinstructor.com)

EURUSD Outlook

The EURUSD continued it’s bullish correction yesterday. The pair topped at 1.3035 and closed at 1.3004. On h4 chart below we can see that after hit double bottom formation at 1.2890 area, the pair made an upside correction towards 23.6% Fibo retracement level (of 1.3734 – 1.2890) around key level 1.3100. Like I said yesterday, as long as the pair stay below 1.3100, we have to consider this upside rebound as a normal movement and only movement above 1.3100 area could be a potential violation to the bearish outlook. I think we are still in no trading zone in nearest term. Be patient and do not rush jumping into the market. CCI in oversold area  and heading up on daily chart suggesting a potential upside pressure.

EURUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.2915
  • S2= 1.2826
  • S3= 1.2766
  • R1= 1.3064
  • R2= 1.3124
  • R3= 1.3213
  • GBPUSD Outlook

    The GBPUSD continued it’s bearish scenario yesterday after corrected higher on Tuesday. On h4 chart below we can see that the battle between buyers and sellers around trendline resistance area was won by the sellers. The bias is bearish in nearest term testing 1.4350 support area but remains unclear in medium term. Make sure to have a very tight money management at this phase. Initial resistance is seen at 1.4530 area. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum. CCI just cross the -100 line up on hourly chart suggesting a potential upside rebound.

    GBPUSD Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.4365
  • S2= 1.4242
  • S3= 1.4083
  • R1= 1.4647
  • R2= 1.4806
  • R3= 1.4929
  • USDJPY Outlook

    The USDJPY was traded lower yesterday. On h4 chart we can see that the 97.60/70 support area still hold preventing further bearish attack. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. Consistent move below 97.60/70 area should confirm the bearish scenario towards 96.50 area. Initial resistance at 98.50 area. Break above that area could trigger further bullish momentum. CCI in neutral area on hourly chart.

    USDJPY Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 97.46
  • S2= 96.94
  • S3= 96.31
  • R1= 98.61
  • R2= 99.24
  • R3= 99.76
  • USDCHF Outlook

    The USDCHF didn’t make significant movement yesterday. On hourly chart below we can see that the pair attempted to push lower, break below 1.1635, bottomed at 1.1598 but closed higher at 1.1634. The bias remains neutral in nearest term. The pair need a valid breakdown from 1.1635 area to confirm further bearish momentum towards 1.1515 support area. CCI about to cross the 100 line down on daily chart suggesting a potential downside pressure.

    USDCHF Daily Supports and Resistances:

  • S1= 1.1582
  • S2= 1.1530
  • S3= 1.1462
  • R1= 1.1702
  • R2= 1.1770
  • R3= 1.1822
  • Have a great day!