| Global Interest Rates | |||
Australia |
7.25% | ||
Canada |
3.5% | ||
EMU |
4% | ||
Japan |
0.5% | ||
Swiss |
2.75% | ||
England |
5% | ||
US |
2.25% | ||
Basic Trading Concepts
Tutorial
If you decide to become a trader,
it’s difficult to just jump into a market and be one. Before you can
even move into the nuts and bolts of trading, there are some basic
concepts you need to understand – the idea of trading itself, your
perception of trading, your resources, the use of money, the role
you play in the trading process and a number of other items that
deal mainly with the trader and not the trading.
The trading issues – trading
instruments available, how markets work and other trading basics –
are covered in the next tutorial. You may think you can just breeze
through these first two tutorials, but they are the foundation of
your trading education.
Knowing What You Don’t Know
That
headline may sound like a strange way to start a tutorial, but when
it comes to something as complex as trading, it is important to
acknowledge the preconceived notions you may have about trading and
to understand that you probably have much to learn about this
complex subject, especially if you intend to master what could be
the most difficult undertaking you will ever attempt.
First
and foremost, despite what you may have heard or read about trading
being an easy, get-rich-quick scheme, the truth is that there are no
trading secrets and no easy paths to quick success in trading
markets. Beware of anyone who tries to tell (or sell) you such. It’s
no coincidence that trading markets is similar to most other human
endeavors: Hard work and experience are required to achieve notable
success. By the same token, understanding the process of trading can
be achieved with perseverance and a willingness to continue to
learn.
Ironically, a major advantage of being an experienced trader is
knowing what you don’t know about markets and trading. There are
certain elements of trading that you may never know nor understand,
like knowing for sure what a market is going to do in the future.
Market analysis and trading is not a business of bold predictions
but one of exploring market probabilities based upon market
knowledge, price history, human behavior and trading experience.
Knowing that you don’t know exactly what a market will do actually
gives you a trading edge because it means you probably will exercise
more caution and think about and plan for what could happen if a
trade turns against you. Successful traders know that some trades
will turn against them and that they need to take steps to preserve
capital to trade another day.
Anyone who plans to trade for a while absolutely must respect the
markets. Most people do not like to be “wrong,” but only the market
is 100 percent right. Traders who think they “know” exactly what a
market will do are not showing the markets respect.
Why do you want to trade?
You may be comfortable accepting the fact that
you don’t know everything there is to know about trading yet, but
you definitely should have a good idea about several things when you
get into trading. The first is why you want to trade in the first
place. People have a number of motives for trading, all of which
have merit, but you should be clear what it is that is driving you
into trading. Your reasons for trading may go a long way in
determining your trading style.
Profits
Probably every trader’s goal is to make money.
But if that is your main reason for trading, are you willing to do
what it takes to achieve this goal? It will mean you have to provide
the seed money and other resources you need to be successful, and it
will involve a commitment to learning to gain trading experience.
If trading is going to be your business, you
obviously have to put making money high on your list of goals. That
requires consistent, strong discipline and the ability to control
your emotions as none of the experience or success you have gained
in other areas will guarantee that you will be a success in trading.
Your trading approach may even be boring, but if your real goal is
making money, you will have to have the discipline to stick with a
trading plan.
Being ‘right’
Are you a person whose greatest satisfaction
comes from being right about things? Traders generally love to
compete and be better than everyone else in whatever they do. Just
having the opportunity to crow a little about their prowess is their
biggest reward.
However, trading may be one of the worst places
to look to feed an ego. Whatever success you have had in other
aspects of your life may not transfer very well to the trading
arena, which has been known to humble even the strongest ego. Of
course, traders have to have a strong sense of ego to have enough
confidence to trade, but you’ll have to keep that ego in check
whenever you enter a market position if you want to survive as a
trader.
Excitement
Trading certainly can provide plenty of
excitement, both highs and lows, and that may be reason enough for
trading. But expect to pay an entertainment tax. Just being in a
market position can be exhilarating and can inspire you to keep up
with what’s happening in the market and in the world’s news events.
However, to be successful over a longer term – unless you have deep
pockets – you usually will have to forego the excitement and emotion
generated by trading, just as you have to keep a lid on your ego
trip. You naturally will experience some excitement whenever you are
trading, but it is a factor you must control. If excitement is an
objective of trading for you, perhaps the solution is to have one
account you trade conservatively and another account where you get a
little wilder.
What Are Your Resources?
In addition to your goals for trading, you also
should be well aware of the resources you bring to the trading
table. They will play a big part in the markets you can trade and in
the way you trade them. If you think you can be a big-time bond
trader with a $5,000 account or a day-trader while working a
full-time job, you’ll soon get a dose of reality when it comes to
trading.
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Here are some resources you have to
consider as you ponder what and how to trade:
Money
There’s that word again, but the fact of the
matter is that you can’t trade without sufficient capital – your
trading stake that you need to guard carefully. You may be able to
begin trading without having enough time or knowledge, but you won’t
be able to begin trading without money. You have to have money to
make money.
Your trading account will have to meet minimum
requirements set forth by the trading industry. How much money you
need depends on what you intend to trade. If you are buying stocks,
you have to have at least half of the purchase amount in your
account. If you are trading futures, you usually have to have a
minimum of about 3 percent to 7 percent of the value of the contract
in your account.
Those are the regulatory requirements, and
there is no negotiating the amount. If you plan to trade the
full-size S&P 500 Index futures contract, for example, you have to
have about $20,000 in your account for each contract. If you are
trading the e-mini version of the S&P 500, the requirement is about
$4,000. The key point is that the amount of money required to trade
limits what you can trade and the number of contracts you can hold.
In addition to the minimum regulatory
requirements, you should also have a cushion above that to withstand
the fluctuations of the marketplace. That suggests you should always
have enough extra cash in your account to cover possible worst-case
scenarios. At any one time, you may not want to have more than 50
percent of your account tied up in active positions.
If you are not adequately capitalized and the
market makes even a slight adverse price move, you may either be
forced to put up more money to hold your position or you may be
forced out of the market. Having extra money in the account also
relieves the pressure of having to be right about your position from
the start, pressure that is not conducive to making wise trading
decisions.
You also do not want to have the pressure of
having the funds for trading come from money you need to pay the
rent or buy groceries or from funding the account with your credit
card. Your trading money should come from discretionary funds that
you can afford to lose without affecting your lifestyle.
Time
Everyone has 60 minutes in an hour and 24 hours
a day, but how much of your time can you devote to market analysis
and trading? If you have a full-time job, it will be difficult to be
a day-trader, no matter how well you think you might do with that
style of trading.
The priority you place on the use of your time will play a big role
in selecting the type of trading resources you need and the style of
trading you can do. Time may be an important trading constraint for
you.
Trading Help
To perform the market analysis you need to make
a trading decision, you will need information and educational
resources. Typically, that includes expenditures for the following:
Electronic connection.
Today’s active
trader almost needs to have a connection to the internet, both to
have access to information resources quickly and easily and to enter
orders.
Data/price quotes.
Today’s active
traders also need real-time quotes as well as access to historical
market data for their analysis. Brokers may provide sufficient data,
but many traders want to subscribe to a source that will provide the
most accurate, reliable data possible.
Analytical software. Another requirement
for many active traders is software that can turn data into charts
and technical indicators deemed necessary to analyze markets. All
you need to do is specify the type of software you want, and some
vendor is likely to have it.
Advisory services.
In
general, it’s probably advisable to do your own research, but your
lack of time or knowledge may limit what you can do, causing you to
turn to other more expert sources for information, analysis and
perhaps trading recommendations.
Developing a Trading
Mentality
Much has been written about what type of
personality it takes to be a successful trader. What makes this
question particularly difficult is that there is no definitive
answer about the characteristics a trader should have to be
successful. If you assess your personal traits honestly and
realistically, you can probably develop a trading program that fits
your personality more easily than you can adapt your personality to
a particular trading program.
But what provides a common thread among many
successful traders is that they all have a trading mentality. That
doesn’t mean just shifting from the traditional buy-and-hold mindset
of the past to jumping into and out of positions readily, however.
That is part of it, but a trading mentality includes several other
factors related to attitude that may be somewhat different from what
you have heard and believed in the past.
Speculation
is okay.
You may have heard complaints about how
speculators are to blame for all kinds of price distortions and how
they manipulate prices, even when they are responding to perceptions
of supply and demand. None of today’s economic developments or
technological advances would have been possible without speculation.
No one would have started a company without speculation. Speculation
is simply a part of growth.
“Speculating” is not the same as “gambling.”
Speculating can turn into a crapshoot, but successful speculating
means two things: You always limit your risk, and you always try to
have favorable probabilities.
Gambling creates risk. A bet in a casino or at
a racetrack creates a risk to your money that did not exist before.
In trading (speculating), the risk already
exists. Someone is carrying that risk, and a trader/speculator is
willing to assume the risk that someone else wants to pass along
because they do not want it. Trading is all about transferring risk
from those who want to insulate themselves from adverse price moves
to those who are willing to take on the risk in exchange for the
possibility of profiting from a price move that would be favorable
to them.
Speculators play a vital role in this process
by always being available to take the other side of these trades and
providing liquidity to the marketplace to make prices flow
efficiently. Without speculators, prices for many stocks and
products would be much more erratic and uncertain and potentially
much more detrimental to the development of a sound economy. Trading
allows both producers/consumers and speculators and to achieve their
goals. As a trader, you are “speculating” on what will happen, not
“gambling.”
Losing is
okay.
Nobody likes a “loser,” especially if it means
money, but in trading you can be a winner by liking to take losses.
You expect all of your trades to work or you wouldn’t have taken
them. But because of the uncertainties of the marketplace, the
reality is that many successful traders have built outstanding track
records with only 40% or fewer winning trades.
One of the most important market adages is,
“Cut your losses short.” When the market tells you that you are
wrong, get out of your losing position quickly so the loss doesn’t
grow and wipe out your trading stake, the key to staying in the
trading game. If your analysis was wrong, the sooner you find out,
the better off you usually are.
The market
is not ‘against’ you.
You may not believe this when the market seems
to be gunning for your stops or reaching a certain price level just
to take your money. The market does try to confuse most participants
most of the time, but don’t take it personally if you are the victim
of an adverse price move. The market is not out to “get” you but is
just flowing along, and your position just happens to be carried
along with it.
It’s okay to
sell what you don’t own.
Many newcomers to trading have a difficult time
comprehending this fact. That’s understandable if your experience
has been limited to buying stocks, but with trading instruments such
as futures or options, it is as easy to sell as it is to buy. In
fact, selling means no difference in the amount of money required or
in the trading procedure other than saying “Sell” instead of “Buy.”
So you can “Sell high, buy low,” even if you have never bought the
instrument in the first place.
It’s okay to
be a ‘bear.’
Generally, a market that is going up or is
“bullish” is perceived as “good,” and a market that is going down
or is “bearish” is called “bad.” But, as the previous item about
going short suggests, being a bear and watching prices decline may
be a good thing for your account. In reality, you should always have
a two-sided view, neither bullish nor bearish but reacting to what
you see the market doing. When you see an opportunity arise, being a
bear or shorting the market works no differently than being long or
bullish.
It’s okay to
be emotional about trading.
Most
advice about trading suggests taking the emotion out of trading, and
it is true that you should not let emotions rule your trading
decisions. But if you want to be a successful trader, you have to
have a passion for trading – a passion that will push you to learn
about the markets and trading, force you to study price action to
become a well-versed expert in whatever method you choose and give
you the desire to stick with trading when things may not be going so
well. Passion drives people in many successful endeavors, and
trading is no exception.
The Language of Trading: Lingo You May Hear
As with many other
fields, traders have their own arcane terms and phrases to describe
various conditions. Trading newcomers may be frustrated by a lingo
they do not understand and which seems to make no sense at all.
A glossary of terms
on this site provides the meaning of many words used by traders, but
here are some of the more widely used trading terms and their
explanations so you won’t be confused when you see or hear them used
to describe some basic trading concepts.
“Dead-cat
bounce.”
Many times a market will experience a modest rally (a
bounce) from depressed price levels. But most of this price rise is
due to short-covering or weak long positions getting back into a
market that very likely will exert little or no upside power.
“The trend is
your friend.” This simple sentence is a very powerful one and is
important for most traders. If you trade with the market’s trend,
your odds for success are higher than if you trade against the
trend. Most successful traders employ some type of trend-following
trading strategy.
“Buy the rumor,
sell the fact.” This is a frequently occurring phenomenon
whereby a market makes a price move in anticipation of an expected
result of a fundamental event. Then, when the event does actually
occur and the result was as expected by traders, the market price
will move in the opposite direction. For example, if grain traders
expect a bullish report, the market will rally in the days before
the report’s release but then actually sell off once the actual
bullish figures are released.
“Bulls make
money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered.” In other
words, don’t be a greedy trader. Don’t try to take too much profit
out of a market too fast. The two biggest and potentially most
damaging human emotions in trading are “fear” and “greed.”
“Cut your losses
short.” This trading maxim is even more important than “The
trend is your friend.” Traders must limit their losses on their more
numerous losing trades by using strict money management and by
employing buy and sell stops.
“Markets
‘discount’ events.” This phrase is similar to the “buy the
rumor, sell the fact” phrase. Markets many times “factor in” or
discount events before they occur. For example, forecasters may
predict a U.S. Corn Belt drought. Although the growing season for
soybeans and corn does not end until early fall, corn and soybean
futures prices may top out in June. Traders factor in the damage to
crops well before most of the damage had actually occurred.
“Never meet a
margin call.” In other words, traders should never let a trade
become so much “under water” that a margin call from the broker is
initiated. “Cut your losses short.”
“Short-covering.” This phenomenon occurs when traders who have
established short positions decide to exit the market, either to
take profits or because their trading positions have moved too far
“under water.” Many times short-covering will occur after a market
has been in a sustained downtrend without much upside movement
recently.
“Long
liquidation.” Traders decide to “ring the cash register” and
take profits from long positions or weaker longs exit the market
when it appears to be showing weakness. Long liquidation usually
occurs when a market has been in a sustained uptrend and many bulls
decide to bail out, knowing the market is vulnerable to a downside
correction.
Consolidation,
also known as
“sideways trading.”
Many times a market
that has undergone a sustained trend will “pause” to catch its
breath or move into a consolidation phase. This means price action
on the charts turns more sideways and choppy.
A price
“breakout.” This occurs when prices move solidly above or below
a “congestion area” (or a sideways trading area) on a price chart.
Many trend traders like to trade price breakouts.
“Basing” action.
This is extended sideways trading at recent historic lower price
levels. Prices are forming a “base” at lower levels, from which
prices will eventually make an upside “breakout.” Keep in mind that
markets can also see a downside price breakout at what was perceived
to be a basing area at lower levels.
A market
“correction.” When a market has made a sustained price trend, it
will make a shorter counter move in the opposite direction. After
this correction, odds favor the eventual resumption of the trending
move.
“Locals.”
These individuals
trade in the futures trading pits in open-outcry markets at the
exchanges. They trade for their own accounts and are a needed
function of pit trading because they provide the important market
liquidity for better trade execution (fills).
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