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Commentaries
Mark O`Byrne

Gold Investments Market Update

By Mark O`Byrne

Precious metals analyst

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22 April 2008 @ 08:31 am EST
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Gold is up to $920 per ounce in London this morning. Gold was up $2.50 to $914.70 per ounce in trading in New York yesterday and silver was down 46 cents to $17.34 per ounce. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $920.75, 464.21 and 576.98 (from $915.75, 461.64 and 577.40 yesterday).

Gold continues in a tight range between $910 and $930 but the path of least resistance looks to be to the upside, especially with oil above $118 a barrel on supply concerns. Safe haven demand continues to remain robust with the global credit crisis rumbling on with continuing revelations from Bank of America yesterday and Royal Bank of Scotland today. Royal Bank of Scotland said this morning that it had suffered $11.7 billion in additional losses and was forced to raise $23.9 billion in new capital to cover exposure to toxic U.S. loans.

Goldman Sachs has warned that UK sovereign bonds could be adversely affected by the latest Bank of England bail out. Bonds safe haven role may come increasingly into question as some central banks use their sovereign debt to prop up ailing banks.

Gold Continues to Outperform All Currencies and Asset Classes

Many investors, advisers and others in the financial media incorrectly assume that golds strength is purely a function of dollar weakness. Nothing could be further from the truth. Dollar weakness is just one of the myriad of strong fundamental factors driving the gold price.

Gold has rallied from 260 (EUR) in 2000 to over 575 (EUR) today. Thus in the last 8 years gold is up 120%. In 5 years gold is up some 90% in euro terms. More importantly since the emergence of the global financial crisis, gold has rallied from below 500 (EUR) to above 570 (EUR) or up by more than 15% in just 6 months. This is an incredible performance especially considering the euro has been the strongest major currency in the world during these periods.

http://www.research.gold.org/prices/daily/

Given the fact that the global financial crisis and global inflation and possibly stagflation is now beginning to affect the international economy and the eurozone economy, we are likely to see gold continue to perform strongly vis--vis the all major currencies including sterling and the euro in the coming months and indeed years. This, the worst financial and economic crisis seen in generations, will not be sorted out in a matter of a few short months and by early 2009 as blithely predicted by the usual (commission driven) vested interests.

Support and Resistance

Support for gold is at $910 and $905 and strong support is at $880. Resistance is now last weeks high at $950.

Silver

Silver is trading at $17.65/17.70 per ounce at 1215 GMT.

PGMs

Platinum is trading at $2050/2060 per ounce (1215 GMT).

Palladium is trading at $460/464 per ounce (1215 GMT).

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