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ALL BUSINESS: Credit-rating agencies still need ample staff



By RACHEL BECK, AP
25 April 2008 @ 10:52 am EST

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That's why Moody's earnings reported on Wednesday should be careful parsed. Yes, the company's 23 percent first-quarter slide in earnings to 48 cents per share was well above the 35 cents a share that Wall Street analysts had expected. Investors welcomed that news, sending the stock up nearly 3 percent.

Helping Moody's achieve those results were some cost-cutting initiatives, which shaved $46 million from its operating expenses. About 75 percent of that decline came from reductions in compensation expense.

Wall Street analysts support such cutbacks because Moody's business has contracted significantly over the last year. Revenues in its credit-ratings arm, Moody's Investors Service, has dropped 37 percent drop, and there has been a significant downturn in new issuance of fixed income products. There was nearly a 41 percent drop in the fourth quarter from year-ago levels and a 60 percent first-quarter decline from a year ago, according to Lehman Brothers.

But that thinking glosses over another important point: Even though it has lost business doesn't mean that it is time to thin the ranks and give employees less reason to work hard or stay with the company.

Joshua Rosner of the independent research firm Graham Fisher says staffing decisions means that Moody's which like all the rating agencies has a tough time retaining top talent and often loses them to the higher-paying Wall Street firms risks losing its best analysts because they won't have incentives to stay.

Also, fewer bodies to do secondary market ratings could be problematic, noted Rosner. Those ratings come after the initial review and are expected to be done in a timely and regular manner.

"Although new engagements have declined, the number of complex and outstanding securities that require increased and enhanced secondary market surveillance and monitoring has increased as a result of economic uncertainty," Rosner said. "It would be fair to expect that the rating agencies' first obligation should be to make sure they had adequate staffing to perform their regulatory function rather than reducing their work force to come closer to meeting their earnings numbers."

Ratings agencies must rebuild their reputation. That won't happen if they have too few people doing jobs that are crucial to many of us.

___

Rachel Beck is the national business columnist for The Associated Press. Write to her at rbeck(at)ap.org

Copyright 2008 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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