| Global Interest Rates | |||
 Australia |
7.25% | ||
 Canada |
3.5% | ||
 EMU |
4% | ||
 Japan |
0.5% | ||
 Swiss |
2.75% | ||
 England |
5% | ||
 US |
2.25% | ||
Fundamentals
Forexpros.com Daily Analysis
Todays Economic Reports
USD consolidates
Mixed against the majors
UK data boosts GBP
All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)
8:30am USD Unemployment Claims 373K
9:00am USD Fed Governor Kroszner Speaks
10:00am USD House Price Index m/m
Looking Ahead to Friday
All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)
10:00am USD Existing Home Sales 4.86M
Half Day, markets close early
No PM Broadcast or Newsletter, back on Tuesday after holiday
Summary
The Greenback opens New York mixed this morning after a solid two-way overnight session saw the majors consolidating recent strength. Initially starting flat in Asia the USD had some early pressure as follow-on selling from a dismal stock market Wednesday leaked into Asian trade. Bouncing back to post early highs at the start of European trade the USD found light stops in most pairs as late shorts were caught wrong-footed in Europe. Better-than-expected UK retail trade data and a well-received Gilts auction drew buying in Cable after trading the 1.9600 handle most of the day; stops were triggered above the 1.9720 area and the GBP steadily advanced for highs above the 1.9800 handle making the GBP the big mover on the board overnight. A surprise CBI survey caused a flurry of active buying as the market got short into the highs putting the GBP at 1.9819 high prints ahead of early NY trade; CBI the highest since 1995 making a case for no more BOE rate cuts. Traders note that the cross-spreaders were active in EURO-Sterling and Sterling-Yen overnight and they GBP has a very buoyant tone this morning. Contrasting that action is EURO which attracted sellers into the highs at 1.5815 as it tracked GBP higher, traders note prop accounts selling into the highs after stops drove the rate above the 1.5750 area in Europe. EURO has a "buy on dips" mentality today traders say and that means stops will be set close in; the rate could have a stop-driven sell-off to end the week and I would hold open shorts through the day. USD/JPY is firming to start NY after a brief dip to the 102.70 area; low prints at 102.72 on light volume in Asia. Traders note model accounts selling USD overnight and that means close-in stops as well likely in the 103.50 area; highs to start New York at 103.49 but offers are thin. In my view the USD is starting to make the turn for the rest of the week. The lows were in overnight and most of the positions we have on are working. The early short in GBP was stopped out overnight but aggressive traders can re-short the rate anywhere above the 1.9800 handle for today. With crude oil above $135.00 this morning it appears there could be some euphoria-demand for the European crosses so be sure to place your stops; anything can happen when emotional traders make their move. Look for equities to remain weak today and that might pressure USD/JPY.
Comments
CHF/USD Fundamental Outlook at 1500 GMT (EST + 0500) Jul 23, 2008 3:38PM- GBP/USD Fundamental Outlook at 1500 GMT (EST + 0500) Jul 23, 2008 3:36PM
- CNY/USD Fundamental Outlook at 1500 GMT (EST + 0500) Jul 23, 2008 3:34PM
- Forexpros.com USD/CHF Analysis Jun 24, 2008 8:49AM
- Forexpros.com Daily Analysis - 24/06/08 Jun 24, 2008 8:48AM
- Forexpros.com Daily Analysis Jun 24, 2008 8:48AM
In this topic we are going to review the financial forecast on forex market.
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At 4:30 we have DCLG HPI y/y report release and at 8:00 we have Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks, these reports w... rpchost
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