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Earnings Preview: Washington Mutual to report 2Q



By AP
21 July 2008 @ 04:45 pm EST

NEW YORK - Washington Mutual Inc., the nation's largest savings and loan, reports earnings for the fiscal second quarter on Tuesday. The following is a summary of key developments and analyst opinion related to the period.

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OVERVIEW: Washington Mutual, among those banks hit hardest by the mortgage mess, reported a $1.1 billion loss in the first quarter as it set aside $3.5 billion to cover sour loans. Despite the Seattle-based bank's successful $7.2 billion capital raise in April, Wall Street is bracing for another loss.

WaMu became one of the first retail banks to seek outside cash in the wake of the credit crisis when it agreed to sell equity securities to an investment fund managed by TPG Capital and to other investors this spring.

During the quarter, WaMu also announced plans to exit the wholesale lending business and close all remaining standalone home loan centers. WaMu said it will instead focus its mortgage-originating efforts in its retail bank branches and Web site, and by expanding its call center operations.

In June, the bank said it cut about 1,200 jobs, or roughly 2.6 percent of its work force. The bank also slashed its quarterly dividend to 1 cent from 15 cents, which will result in savings of about $490 million a year.

BY THE NUMBERS: Analysts polled by Thomson Financial, on average, anticipate a loss of $1.05 per share.

ANALYST TAKE: In a recent note to clients, Lehman Brothers analyst Bruce Harting said he expects WaMu will need to add "substantially" to its loan loss reserves in the second quarter, and the remainder of the year, as home prices and mortgage credit show no signs of stabilizing. He expects the bank to set aside as much as $4 billion in the quarter to cover bad loans, with charge offs rising to $1.8 billion. Harting projects a loss of $1.48 per share.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst Frederick Cannon, who has an "Underperform" rating on the shares, expects a second-quarter loss of $2.40 per share, based on the bank's tangible equity-to-assets ratio of 7.8 percent as of June 30.

WHAT'S AHEAD: Harting expects the bank to remain unprofitable until credit costs normalize some time in the second half of 2009.

"The combination of revenue growth, loan loss reserves already established and new capital should be sufficient to cover the losses that Washington Mutual will need to absorb in the next several years," he said.

Copyright 2008 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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