Log in to your IBTimes Account

close
ID
Password
  • Set your IBTimes.com Edition

Stocks may struggle to beat autumn blues



29 August 2008 @ 09:03 pm ET



An investor looks at the stock price monitor at a private security company Friday Aug. 29, 2008 in Shanghai, China. Chinese stocks rose Friday on bargaining hunting after a week-long slump, led by financials and real estates, but ended the month down nearly 14 percent. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index added 2.01 percent to close at 2397.37 on the final trading day in August, compared with 2,775.72 for July's last session.
1 of 1

Indeed, overall S&P 500 earnings estimates for the third quarter are fast eroding. And while oil prices are below their July peaks, they are still uncomfortably high for consumers and businesses.

On top of that, there's the U.S. presidential election, which heats up after Labor Day, which could add to volatility.

Meanwhile, U.S. economic fundamentals still look dismal, Johnson said, despite recent data showing gross domestic product grew at a surprisingly robust 3.3 percent clip in the second quarter.

"If you look at GDP, you're led to believe the economy is solid," he said. "But if you look at the variables -- employment, industrial production and personal income -- the economy does not look solid but weak."

And signs of sluggish growth beyond U.S. borders could spell trouble for a new host of sectors. After reporting a surprisingly steep slide in second-quarter profit this week, Dell Inc, the world's second largest computer maker, warned that companies are cutting back on technology spending worldwide.

BETTER TIMES AHEAD?

Of course, a struggling economy does not necessarily mean stocks have to swoon, as investors have in the past looked ahead to better times.

Giving stock investors some hope that the market may soon shake off the blues is the fact that October marks a year since the major U.S. stock indexes began their downward slump -- and, according to data from Ned Davis Research, bear markets typically last just over a year.

In 2002, even before the scandals surrounding Enron and WorldCom were sorted out, markets began to rally their way back into a bull market.

And with financial firms having reported more than $400 billion in credit-related write-downs over the past 12 months, some are hoping things can only get better from here.

Copyright 2009 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.

    Click!
  • Rate this article:

Comments

Post Your Comment

*Name


advertisement
More Global Markets
Commodity prices advanced across the board with Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index gained +2% last week. However, while precious metals and certain base metals ...
Today's extraordinary loose monetary conditions are "benefiting hard assets," according to James Passin, co-founder and manager of Firebird Global Fund a...
he 12z FRIDAY operational GFS still shows a significant event developing for the eastern portions of the Upper Plains and Midwest 11/23-11/24. T...

advertisement
Advertisement
POS Magnetic Card Readers

Online distributor for point of sale equipment, TYSSO and Pegasus.

 
IBTimes.com Web
Partners
International Business Times© 2009 The Ibtimes Company. All Rights Reserved. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Advertising | About Us | Contact Us | Archives