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AIG shares rise despite ratings downgrade



By AP
05 September 2008 @ 05:24 pm EST

CHARLOTTE, N.C. - Shares of American International Group Inc. rose Friday despite a Morgan Stanley analyst downgrading the world's largest insurer to "Equal-weight" from "Overweight," citing escalating liquidity concerns.

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Quotes
AIG 1.81 -0.03
MS 14.97 0.03

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Its stock gained $1.12, or 5.3 percent, to $22.34. Earlier in the session, New York-based AIG was down as much as 4.4 percent at $20.29.

The insurer may need to raise $15 billion to cushion further losses tied to the U.S. housing market, analyst Nigel Dally said in a note to clients.

"We believe a sizable capital raise is likely, probably in the range of $10 billion to 15 billion, the majority of which is likely to be common equity," Dally wrote. He cut his price target on the stock to $25 from $35. The new price target still implies upside of nearly 18 percent over its closing price of $21.22 on Thursday.

The uncertainty being driven by AIG's financial products group and investment portfolio exposures leads us to believe that its debt ratings are highly vulnerable, Dally added.

Dally also said refinancing $39.95 billion of debt and interest due within the next 12 months could hurt pretax earnings by $1 billion annually.

He expects $2 billion to $4 billion in deferred acquisition costs and goodwill charges by year-end, which, given the current share count, would hit book value by roughly $1 per share, he said.

When called, an AIG company representative had no immediate comment.

Copyright 2008 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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