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Oil plummets below US$83 on global slowdown fears



By by CARLO PIOVANO, AP
10 October 2008 @ 09:55 am EST

LONDON - Oil prices tumbled to a one-year low below US$83 a barrel Friday in European trading as fears mounted that governments around the world would be unable to keep the ongoing financial crisis from causing a severe global economic downturn.

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Light, sweet crude for November delivery was down US$3.84 to US$82.75 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange in the European afternoon, the lowest since October 2007. The contract fell US$1.81 the previous day to settle at US$86.62 as stock markets continued to slump at record rates.

"The whole market has lost confidence in everything," said Mark Pervan, senior commodity strategist with ANZ Bank in Melbourne. "Everyone is worried about global growth, and oil is the front line commodity for that. There's just a lot of panic and fear in the market."

Markets are unnerved by the fact that credit markets remain frozen despite massive bank bailouts in the U.S. and UK and an unprecedented coordinated rate cut by the world's major central banks. Investors are now worried that what has so far been a financial sector problem in developed countries will infect economic growth around the globe.

All European stock markets were deep in the red, following sharp losses in Asia and the U.S. Britain's FTSE 100 was down 7.5 percent, while Germany's DAX was 8.5 percent lower. The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 7.3 percent to fall below the 9,000 mark for the first time since 2003 as Japan's Nikkei 225 plunged 9.6 percent.

"There is blood on the street and the stampede continues with equities currently in a self-perpetuating corrective cycle," wrote analysts at Switzerland's Petromatrix research group.

The fear that a continued lack of credit will choke off global economic growth has pushed an energy watchdog to slash its forecasts for oil demand over the next two years.

The International Energy Agency cut its forecast for oil demand by 240,000 barrels per day this year and by 440,000 barrels per day in 2009. It also said the credit freeze is hurting the supply side of the oil industry, "with independent producers and, potentially, several Russian operators seen as particularly at risk."

But with economic growth in danger, oil investors are mostly focused on demand issues, even overlooking signs that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may cut production.

OPEC said Thursday it will hold an extraordinary meeting Nov. 18 to discuss how the widening global financial crisis is affecting oil prices.

Copyright 2008 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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