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Goldman shares fall as analyst forecasts 4Q loss



By AP
10 November 2008 @ 11:11 am EST

NEW YORK - Shares of Goldman Sachs Group Inc. fell sharply Monday morning as another analyst cut his fiscal fourth-quarter forecast amid the sever downturn in the credit markets in recent months.

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Quotes
GS 84.5 -4.21
LEH 0.13 -0.17
BAC 13.71 -0.57
MS 18.1 -1.48

SYMBOL LOOKUP

Goldman Sachs shares fell $6.55, or 8.5 percent, to $71.23 in morning trading. Earlier in the session, shares hit a five-year low of $70.63.

Barclays Capital analyst Roger Freemen now projects Goldman Sachs will lose $2.50 per share during its fiscal fourth quarter, which ends Nov. 30. Freeman previously estimated Goldman Sachs would earn $2.71 per share during the quarter.

Freeman is just the latest analyst to slash his estimate for the bank.

Analysts on average, forecast earnings of $1.16 per share for the quarter, according to Thomson Reuters. A month ago, analysts, on average, forecast earnings of $2.71 per share for the quarter.

Goldman Sachs is now likely to post a loss during the quarter because of a sharp drop in equity markets, which will likely hit the bank in its private equity business, Freeman wrote in a research note.

The bank is also likely to take write-downs on its principal investments in real estate as well as in bonds backed by mortgages and leveraged loans, Freeman said. The write-downs are due to continued illiquidity in investment markets and pressures from hedge funds deleveraging, Freeman added.

Nearly all banks have continued to face pressure in recent months from the continued problems in the credit markets. Goldman Sachs and other investment banks have been especially hit hard. In September, competitor Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy protection and Merrill Lynch & Co. sold itself to Bank of America Corp. as investors worried stand-alone investment banks would no longer be viable.

Shortly after Lehman failed and Merrill was sold, both Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley received approval to change from stand-alone investment banks to bank holding companies, which are more traditional structures for typical commercial banks.

The change allows Goldman Sachs to build a strong deposit base to help bolster its capital reserves and fund its operations. The change in status also provides it with permanent and wider access to the Federal Reserve's lending program.

Copyright 2008 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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