The Risk Today - November 17
17 Nov, 2008 @ 11:48 am ET | written by Advanced Currency Markets SA
EurUsd Market dropped as low as 1.2330 on October 28th and sharply rebounded to 1.3298 high Thursday last week. This shows actual trading range 1.2330 – 1.3298. On the downside, renewed weakness will open the way down to trendline support 1.2208. Next long-term support holds 1.1640 November 2005 low. Further support holds 1.0739 September 2003 low. On the upside, only a return over 1.4000 (former trendline support) and 1.5000 will release actual pressure and may put key resistance 1.6000 into focus. Resistance holds 1.4002 former trendline support. Initial resistance holds 1.3769 14th October high.
GbpUsd Market dropped as low as 1.4558 last Thursday in current 3-month downtrend. It also posted 1.6673 high last week. Strong supports hold 1.4560 trendline and 1.3682 March 2001 low. On the upside, strong resistance holds 1.6673 last weeks high ahead of 1.7144 (38.2% retracement of 2.0158 – 1.5265 3-month drop). Further resistance holds 1.7744 (50% retracement).
UsdJpy Market has been holding slightly below 99.80 September-October trendline resistance in the latest weeks and drop to 94.47 yesterday. Initial resistance holds 99.48 Monday high. On the upside, only a recovery over 103 upper trendline and 105 pivot point will put focus again on 108 and 110.67 15th August high. Strong resistance holds 100 pivot point. Staying in the current downtrend might open the way down to 79.70 April 1995 low. Strong support holds 90.91 24th October low.
UsdChf Market hit 1.2002 new 1-year high this morning. Further strength may open the way over 1.2153 trendline resistance. Next resistance holds 1.2463. On the downside, renewed weakness below 1.1605 initial support and 1.1203 30th October low would undermine the current uptrend and reverse through 1.0692 22nd September low and down to 1.0500 and 1.0375. Such a move may look for 1.0013 15th July low in front of 0.9637 17th March low.
Resistance and Support:

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