It is quite amazing how often "the stock" knows, ahead of the news... Gamestop (GME) despite a virtual monopoly on pure play video game retail (one of the few recession proof niches) has been a massive underperformer, especially as institutional money flows into the retail niche as an "early cycle recovery" thesis. In fact it's closer to March lows than recent highs.
Today we have some news that Walmart (WMT) is experimenting with rental & used game kiosks - obviously if this giant treads on your turf, it's not good news for profits. Last time we looked at Gamestop was 2 months ago when Amazon.com moved into used games [Mar 5, 2009: Gamestop Hit by Amazon.com's Move into Used Games] - I was not that concerned about that move because we have an instant gratification society and most people are not going to wait (wait for it...) days to get their video game fix. But Walmart is only a few miles from most people's homes....
Back in January we noted how important used games were to Gamestop [Jan 21, 2009: WSJ - Used Games Score Big for Gamestop]
I didn't realize used games were about a quarter of sales... and frankly the cost they sell the used games is not that much below a new game - savvy business model there.
What sets it apart from other game retailers is its virtual lock on used game sales. Those sales are expected to reach $2 billion, or 23%, of GameStop's revenue for its fiscal year ending Jan. 31, according to Pacific Crest Securities. That is up from $1.6 billion, or 22.4%, of revenue a year earlier. Its business has gathered steam in the recession as consumers pinch their pennies. In the nine weeks ended Jan. 3, its sales of new games and consoles increased 19% to $1.9 billion. But sales of used games and consoles rose an even stronger 32%, to $543.5 million. Nobody else has that used-games draw," said retail analyst Joseph Feldman of Telsey Advisory Group.
Now this is just a pilot program for Walmart but again... it's Walmart - you don't want them on your turf as a competitor. So said American consumer can drop off old game at kiosk, collect money as they cross GO and then head over to Walmart video game section and buy new game. Or just rent a game for $1 a night. Photos of the kiosks already surfacing on the internets! See here.
