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Oil falls below $69 as Nigeria threat eases

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29 June 2009 @ 02:48 am ET
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PERTH - Oil fell below $69 a barrel on Monday as the easing of tensions in energy-rich Nigeria prompted some investors to take profit.

Four Nigeria militant factions accepted in principle an amnesty offer from the country's president, raising hopes that Africa's top oil producer would halt a battle with rebels in its energy-rich Niger Delta that has shut in around 1 million barrels per day of output.

U.S. crude for August delivery fell 56 cents to $68.60 a barrel by 0618 GMT (2:18 a.m. EDT). The contract fell $1.07 to settle at $69.16 a barrel on Friday.

London Brent crude was down 53 cents at $68.39.

Pipeline bombings, attacks on oil and gas installations and kidnapping of industry workers over the past three years have prevented Nigeria from pumping much above two-third of its installed oil output capacity of 3 million barrels per day.

"Tensions in Nigeria seem to have eased over the weekend so some of that supply risk premium is giving way this morning," said Toby Hassall, an analyst at Commodities Warrants Australia.

"Beyond that, the market will be closely eyeing the raft of economic data due later this week, which will bring investors' focus back to fundamentals."

There is a heavy calendar of economic data for the week, including China's Purchasing Managers Index on Wednesday, U.S. Consumer confidence on Tuesday, and a U.S. jobs report and manufacturing data on Thursday.

For investors, the slew of U.S. economic indicators could be the make-or-break factors in determining whether the oil market rally, which has lifted prices more than 50 percent this year on hopes of economic recovery, has any legs.

In the first big number for the week, industrial output from the world's No. 3 energy consumer Japan jumped 5.9 percent in May, the third straight month of increase after a big slump, although doubts remained whether it can sustain the momentum without a clear rebound in the United States and other key export markets.

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