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The midday weather models have NOT backed off from the morning runs depiction of the heavy rains and storms which develop along the a cold front on October 9 -- 10. The Midday models still shows widespread heavy rain along the front in a manner very similar to what we saw this morning.
If anything the models are showing an even heavier band of rain over Northwest Arkansas into southeastern Missouri and into central Illinois that reaches over 5 inches!! Again what is holding up the front is the development of Low pressure on the cold front. Once that Low tracks up into the eastern Great Lakes... the front gets a chance to drive south and east into the Deep South. This means more significant rains for the Delta and the deep South into NC and VA October 11 -- 12... but because the front is moving... the rainfall amounts are significantly less. The data still shows 70% coverage over the Delta and the Deep South but amounts are much more reasonable...0.25 to 2.00"
The weather Models show several more systems in the 11-15 day over the Plains and and Midwest. .
|
OCT 8 |
OCT 9 |
OCT 10 |
OCT 11 |
OCT 12 |
OCT 13 |
OCT 14 |
|
|
GLASGOW |
22 |
17 |
13 |
17 |
18 |
24 |
29 |
|
BISMARCK |
30 |
22 |
20 |
20 |
21 |
25 |
30 |
|
MINNEAPOLIS |
42 |
34 |
30 |
28 |
25 |
24 |
29 |
|
PIERRE |
35 |
29 |
25 |
22 |
23 |
29 |
33 |
|
G.ISLAND |
44 |
32 |
27 |
29 |
25 |
30 |
35 |
|
DESMOINES |
46 |
39 |
33 |
29 |
28 |
30 |
31 |
|
CHICAGO |
45 |
48 |
36 |
33 |
35 |
30 |
32 |
|
GOODLAND |
44 |
30 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
36 |
45 |
|
KC |
57 |
48 |
37 |
34 |
32 |
31 |
43 |
|
ST LOUIS |
44 |
55 |
40 |
35 |
35 |
32 |
37 |
|
INDY |
44 |
60 |
43 |
37 |
40 |
31 |
32 |
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