EURUSD Forecast: Indecisive after ECB, technical outlook remains bullish, potential scenarios on NFP

By swibowo
05 November 2009 @ 09:53 pm EDT

The EURUSD peaked at 1.4917 after an optimistic statement about Euro economy outlook from the ECB, but closed lower at 1.4871, formed a Doji on daily chart indicating indecisive movement. While my technical outlook remains bullish with 1.5060 and 1.5300 as potential target, I think the market is waiting for NFP and unemployment rate today, which expected to be at -175 K and 9,9%. While most economic data both in US and Euro generally show positive signals, many analysts see high rate of unemployment as a potential  obstacle to the recovery progress. I have three possible scenarios regarding NFP number:

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