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EURUSD Weekly Summary: Bullish paused after NFP and unemployment rate. Technically upside scenario remains intact.

06 Nov, 2009 @ 08:26 pm ET | By swibowo


The EURUSD bullish momentum was paused after worse than expected NFP and unemployment numbers. However, I think yesterday’s movement was indecisive. I am not sure whether that was caused by not enough surprise between expected and actual number or lower NFP and increasing unemployment rate already anticipated and priced in the market. Overall, I personally prefer to focus more on optimistic tone by ECB and The Fed regarding economy recovery progress which I believe should continue weaken the Dollar.

Technically on daily chart below, even after worse than expected numbers on NFP and unemployment rate, the risk aversion sentiment was not strong enough to push the pair below my major trendline support. For me, this fact should keep the bullish scenario towards 1.5060 even 1.5300 remains intact. The false breakdown on Tuesday could potentially trigger significant bullish momentum. So, for the upcoming week, my technical focus remains at the trendline. As long as the pair stay above the trendline, we are still in bullish mode. Have a great weekend and see you guys next week.

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