A look past the upbeat headlines from this week's third-quarter gross domestic product report points to a more tentative diagnosis of the U.S. economy than the stock market's initial response warranted.
To be sure, GDP did grow 2.5 percent in the July-to-September quarter. That's up from 1.3 percent growth in the second quarter and 0.4 percent growth in the first quarter.
Business spending on tech products, construction and equipment surged 17.7 percent.
Best of all, on an inflation-adjusted basis, GDP rose to $13.35 trillion, Bloomberg reported, topping the $13.33 trillion in the fourth quarter of 2007.
The news was welcomed by economists and analysts, as well as investors.
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"A fairly good report, based on the details, which should provide a degree of support to stocks, weighing somewhat on fixed income," said CIBC analyst Peter Buchanan.
But let's check under the hood, at three aspects of the report, spending, income and the future.
SPENDING
Consumer spending last quarter rose a strong 2.4 percent. But that increased spending came at the expense of savings, which fell during the quarter to 4.1 percent from 5.1 percent, said Dave Rosenberg, chief economist with Gluskin + Sheff Associations Inc.
"Absent that impact, consumer spending would have come in with a tepid 1.3 percent growth rate," said Rosenberg.
Consider as well what consumers spent more on last quarter: healthcare and utilities, essential items - note discretionary ones. In other wrods, they went to the doctor and replaced refrigerators; they didn't go to Bali or buy new furniture.
INCOME
Personal income growth slowed from 4.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 0.9 percent. Some analysts point to the third quarter's higher inflation as a factor.
"The weakness in real disposable income partly reflected the strength of consumer price inflation, up 2.4 percent quarter-over-quarter annualized," said Barclays Capital analyst Peter Newland.