USD/CHF Fundamental Analysis Feb. 2, 2012, Forecast

February 1, 2012 7:20 PM GMT

FXEmpire

Economic Events: (GMT)

09:30     GBP       Construction PMI                                                           52.9                        53.2

The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the construction industry. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the construction industry; a reading below indicates contraction. It gives an indication about the health of the construction section in the UK. Traders watch these surveys closely as purchasing managers usually have early access to data about their company's performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. 

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP                            

10:00    EUR       PPI (MoM)                                                                         -0.1%                     0.2%

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The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. It is a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, which accounts for the majority of overall inflation.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the EUR, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the EUR.

13:30     USD       Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ)                                      1.0%                      2.3%     

Nonfarm Productivity measures the annualized change in labor efficiency when producing goods and services, excluding the farming industry. Productivity and labor-related inflation are directly linked-a drop in a worker's productivity is equivalent to a rise in their wage.

A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.           

13:30    USD       Initial Jobless Claims                                                    373K                      377K

13:30    USD      Unit Labor Costs (QoQ)                                                  0.9%                      -2.5%                    

13:30    USD      Continuing Jobless Claims                                          3565K                    3554K     

Initial Jobless Claims measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. This is the earliest U.S. economic data, but the market impact varies from week to week. Continuing Jobless Claims measures the number of unemployed individuals who qualify for benefits under unemployment insurance.       

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EUR/USD's decline extended further as expected as reached as low as 1.2496. The break of 1.2625 confirmed resumption of whole fall from 1.4939. Initial bias remains on the downside this week.

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