Asia shops for aircraft, arms under China's shadow

By Raju Gopalakrishnan

February 14, 2012 4:28 AM EST

Asian nations shopped for aircraft and military hardware at the region's biggest aerospace and weapons bazaar on Tuesday as a new report said China's defence spending would exceed the combined spending of all major countries in the region within three years.

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Aircraft and weapons manufacturers, military officers, arms dealers and airline executives rubbed shoulders as the 2012 Singapore Airshow kicked off in a vast hangar near the city-state's Changi airport.

Deals worth about $10 billion (6 billion pounds) were announced at the last show in 2010 and the number could well be higher this year as Asian nations ramp up defence spending.

Among the early deals announced on Tuesday was an order given to Raytheon Corp by Boeing Co for advanced radar systems on eight of its P-81 anti-submarine and anti-surface surveillance aircraft being sold to the Indian navy.

India signed a $2.1 billion (1.3 billion pounds) deal with Boeing for eight P-81 planes in 2009, according to media reports. The first of the aircraft is scheduled to be delivered to India this year.

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On the civilian side, Boeing signed its largest ever order for commercial aircraft, a $22.4 billion (14.2 billion pounds) deal with Indonesia's Lion Air. The deal was originally announced in November.

Boeing said Lion Air, Indonesia's largest carrier by passenger volume, has ordered 230 airplanes, including 201 737 MAXs and 29 next-generation 737-900 ERs. Lion Air will also acquire purchase rights for an additional 150 airplanes, Boeing said.

CHINA CONCERNS DRIVE SPENDING

IHS Jane's said in a report that while all major Asian nations are forecast to increase spending on defence, China's military budget will soar to $238.20 billion (151.4 billion pounds) by 2015 from $119.80 billion (76.1 billion pounds) last year, growing about 18.75 percent per annum.

That number will exceed spending by all other nations in the region combined, but compares with a base U.S. defence budget of $525.40 billion (334.0 billion pounds) for 2013.

In Asia, Japan and India follow China in defence spending, but both may be constrained in coming years while China is likely to steam ahead, underpinned by strong economic growth, analysts said.

"Japan's government debt and the investment needed after Fukushima will impact defence spend. We will increasingly see budget channelled towards key programmes and equipment," said Rajiv Biswas, chief economist in the Asia-Pacific for IHS Global Insight.

"India's government debt and fiscal deficit is very high as a share of GDP, and the rupee depreciated significantly in 2011, all of which will limit India's defence ambitions."

Nevertheless, Japan's defence budget is forecast to rise to $66.60 billion (42.3 billion pounds) by 2015 from $60.30 billion (38.3 billion pounds) last year. India's military expenditure is likely to be $44.90 billion (28.5 billion pounds) in 2015 from $35.40 billion (22.5 billion pounds) in 2011.

Copyright 2012 Thomson Reuters UK. All rights reserved.
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