Robert W. Baird reiterated its ‘neutral’ rating on shares of biotech company Genzyme Corp. on Tuesday, while increasing its price target to $69 from $61.
“With Sanofi-Aventis’s now public $69 bid to buy Genzyme, we think the possibility of a deal is much higher, despite the seemingly acrimonious nature of discussions to date. Given the premium this offer represents, along with the well-documented challenges this business faces on numerous fronts, we would continue to trim overweight positions back to neutral-weight,” said Christopher Raymond, an analyst at Robert W. Baird.
Genzyme has formally received a $69/share all-cash offer from Sanofi-Aventis. The analyst raised his price target to $69 as he thinks the possibility of a deal is now much higher. At these levels, the analyst continues to recommend trimming overweight positions back to neutral-weight.
With Genzyme’s board already having rebuffed Sanofi-Aventis’s initial offer, this marks the beginning of what the analyst thinks could be a somewhat protracted process. Sanofi-Aventis has acknowledged that it has yet to see Genzyme’s books, so the analyst thinks it is within the realm of possibility that an offer could extend into the mid-$70s.
Although, with Sanofi-Aventis having previously expressed price sensitivity above $70/share, the analyst is hard-pressed to imagine an offer at significantly higher levels in the absence of any new information.
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But, the brokerage's analysis suggests the current offer is more than fair. Recall in February the brokerage conducted a sum-of-parts analysis of Genzyme’s businesses to determine a fair price under such a takeout scenario, which indicated this business is best valued in the low-to-mid $60s.
“We would probably be taking a different tack. We are surprised by Genzyme’s outright refusal to even come to the table with Sanofi-Aventis, given our analysis and the premium (to both the stock’s pre-offer level and our valuation analysis) represented by Sanofi-Aventis’s offer,” said Raymond.
Genzyme shares were trading down 0.37 percent at $69.65 in the pre-market on the Nasdaq, while Sanofi-Aventis shares fell 0.38 percent at $28.52 on the NYSE.
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