Economic Events: (GMT)

21:45 NZD Core Retail Sales (QoQ) 1.1% 2.4%

 21:45 NZD Retail Sales (QoQ) 1.3% 2.2%

These reports are released together monthy measures the change of the Retail Sales in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level in New Zealand, excluding automobiles and gas stations. It is an important indicator of consumer spending and is also considered a pace indicator for New Zealand's economy. This report might push the NZD up, especially against a weakened dollar.. (Watch this one closely. It might be a good trade. Below forecast sell NZD immediately, above Buy NZD immediately )

23:30 AUD Westpac Consumer Sentiment 2.40%

The Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index measures the change in the level of consumer confidence in economic activity. On the index, a level above 100.0 indicates optimism; below indicates pessimism. The data is compiled from a survey of about 1,200 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions.

05:00 JPY BoJ Monthly Report

The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monthly report contains the statistical data that policymakers evaluate when setting interest rates. The report also provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's perspective

AUD/USD

AUD/USD Fundamental Analysis February 15, 2012 Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation: ( close of Asian session )

AUD/USD was trading down from the opening of 1.0688. off the open of 1.0732.

The Australian dollar is lower following ratings agency Moody's decision to downgrade the credit ratings of six European countries.

Moody's has announced it had downgraded the debt of six countries including Italy, Spain and Portugal.

Slovenia, Slovakia and Malta also had their ratings cut while Britain, France and Austria were placed on a negative outlook.

At 1200 the Aussie was trading at 107.22 US cents, down from the hihg of107.41 US cents on Monday

Mondays weeks major economic reports actual v. forecast.

 

JPY

GDP (QoQ)

-0.6%

 

-0.3%

 

1.4%

 
 

 

JPY

GDP Price Index (YoY)

-1.6%

 

-1.6%

 

-2.1%

 
 

 

JPY

Tertiary Industry Activity Index (MoM)

1.4%

 

0.8%

 

-0.6%

 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

EUR

German WPI (MoM)

1.2%

 

0.4%

 

0.0%

 
 
 

CHF

PPI (MoM)

0.0%

 

0.2%

 

0.3%

 
 
 

EUR

German 6-Month Bubill Auction

0.08%

 
 
 

-0.01%

 
 
 

ALL

OECD Composite Leading Indicators

100.4

 

105.8

 

100.2

 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Sovereign Bond Auction Schedule Feb 13-24

Feb 14 09:30 Netherlands Eur 3.0bn-4.0bn Jan 2017 DSL

Feb 14 09:30 Spain Eur 4.5-5.5bn 12 & 8M T-bill auction

Feb 14 10:10 Greece Eur1.0bn 3M T-bill auctionFeb 14 10:10 Italy

Eur 2.75-4bn 6% Nov 2014 BTPs & Eur 1-2bn 3% Nov 2015

& 4% Feb 2017 BTPs

Feb 14 10:30 Belgium Eur 1.8bn May 2012 & Eur 1.2bn Feb 2013 T-bills

Feb 15 10:10 Sweden Sek 10bn May 2012 T-bills

Feb 15 10:30 Portugal Eur 1.5-2bn May & Aug 2012 and Feb 2013 T-bills

Feb 16 01.30 Japan Auctions 5-year JGBs

Feb 16 09:30 Spain

Eur 3.0-4.0bn 4.4% Jan 2015, 4% Jul 2015 and 4.3% Oct

2019 Obligaciones

Feb 16 10.30 UK Gbp 1.75bn 4.5% Sep 2034 conventional Gilt

Feb 16 09:50 France

Eur 7-8.5bn 3% Jul 2014, 2.5% Jan 2015 & new 1.75% Feb

2017 BTANs

Feb 16 10:50 France

Eur 1.3-1.8bn 1.1% Jul 2022 OATei, 2.1% Jul 2023 OATi &

1.85% Jul 2027 OATei

Feb 16 16:00 US

Announces auctions of 2Y Notes on Feb 21, 5Y Notes on Feb

22 & 7Y Notes on Feb 23

Feb 16 18:00 US Usd 9bn 30Y TIPS

Feb 20-24 n/a UK 0.375% 2062 I/L Gilt syndication

Feb 20 10:10 Norway Nok 3bn 4.5% May 2019 DSL

Feb 20 10:10 Slovakia Eur 0.15bn Apr 2014 & Eur 0.05bn Nov 2016 bonds

Feb 21 09:30 Spain 3 & 6M T-bill auction

Feb 21 15:30 UK Details gilt auction on Mar 01

Feb 21 18:00 US Auctions 2Y Notes

Feb 22 10:10 Sweden Nominal bond auction

Feb 22 10:30 Germany Eur 5.0bn Mar 2014 Schatz

Feb 22 16:30 Italy Details CTZ/BTPei on Feb 24 & BOT on Feb 27

Feb 22 18:00 US Auctions 5Y Notes

Feb 23 10:10 Sweden Sek 0.75bn I/L bond auction

Feb 23 16:30 Italy Details BTP/CCTeu on Feb 28

Feb 23 18:00 US Auctions 7Y Notes

Feb 24 10:10 Italy Auctions CTZ/BTPei

AUD/USD Pivot Points (Time Frame: 1 Day)

 Name  S3  S2  S1  Pivot  R1  R2  R3

 Classic
1.0523
1.0593
1.0639
1.0709
1.0755
1.0825
1.0871

 Fibonacci
1.0593
1.0637
1.0665
1.0709
1.0753
1.0781
1.0825

 Camarilla
1.0653
1.0664
1.0674
1.0709
1.0696
1.0706
1.0717

 Woodie's
-
1.0587
1.0627
1.0703
1.0743
1.0819
-

 DeMark's
-
-
1.0732
1.0697
1.0616
-
-