Crude Inventory Dropped -5 mmb while Oil Product Stockpiles Rose

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Total crude oil and petroleum products stocks rose +0.36 mmb to 1101.5 mmb in the week ended July 2. Crude oil inventory dropped -4.96 mmb to 358.2 mmb. All 5 districts recorded draws during the week with the biggest decline in the West Coast, by -1.97 mmb. Cushing stock fell -0.18 mmb. Utilization rate increased +1.4% to 89.8%, the highest level since January 2008.

Gasoline stockpile increased +1.32 mmb to 219.4 mmb while the market had anticipated a rise of +0.1 mmb. Production dipped -0.07% which was offset by +21.6% surge in imports. Meanwhile, demand slid -0.14% to 9.45M bpd. Distillate stockpile added +0.32 mmb to 159.7 mmb. Production slipped -0.46% while imports jumped +62.3%. Demand soared +11.24% to 3.95M bpd, the highest level since May 28.

Crude oil price rallied too as 75.9 ahead of the report as US initial jobless claims declined more than expectation, by -18K, to 454K last week. However, price pared some of the gains as the inventory report showed rises in oil product stockpiles.

Weekly change in inventory as of 02/07/10
Actual
Change
Market Expectation
Previous

Crude oil
358.2 mmb
-4.96 mmb
-2.00 mmb
-2.01 mmb

Gasoline
219.4 mmb
+1.32 mmb
+0.10 mmb
+0.54 mmb

Distillate
159.7 mmb
0.32 mmb
+1.60 mmb
+2.46 mmb

Comparison between API and EIA reports:

     

 
 
API (Jul 02)
 
 
EIA (Jul 02 )
 

 
Actual
Inventory
Previous
 
Forecast (using API's inventory level)
Inventory

Crude oil
-7.30 mmb
351.8 mmb
-3.40 mmb
 
-11.12 mmb
352 mmb

Gasoline
-0.10 mmb
220.2 mmb
-0.91 mmb
 
+1.89 mmb
220 mmb

Distillate
-1.00 mmb
157.6 mmb
+3.90 mmb
 
-1.38mmb
158 mmb

     

API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, 76% of the time, using data in the past 4 years.

Source: Bloomberg, API, EIA

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