U.S. Dollar Trading (USD) was stronger on a surprise sharp drop in the January Unemployment Rate to 9.0% vs. 9.4% previously. The Nonfarm payroll rise was only 36k vs. 145k forecast but this was put down to bad weather in January. In US stocks, DJIA +29 points closing at 12092, S&P +3 points closing at 1310 and NASDAQ +15 points closing at 2769. Looking ahead, December Consumer Credit forecast at 2bn vs. 1.35bn.

The Euro (EUR) was under pressure as the largest currency pair expressed the USD strength. The sharp pullback over the last two days has put the rally in question with a break of 1.3500 signally its breakdown. EUR/JPY held up well as stock markets and risk appetite remains strong. EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3544 and a high of 1.3678 before closing at 1.3588. Looking ahead, February Sentix Index forecast at 12.5 vs. 10.6.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) Broke above Y82 and surged towards Y82.50 resistance before profit taking into the weekend. Crosses were all buoyant as traders look to express risk appetite. USD weakness in recent weeks has being pressuring the USD/JPY but the action has been very contained and Japanese Officials still comment on moves towards Y80. Overall the USDJPY traded with a low of 81.13 and a high of 82.46 before closing the day around 82.19 in the New York session.

The Sterling (GBP) UK house prices jumped 0.8% in Jan and helped the Pound rally in the European session before reversing on post NFP dollar strength. EUR/GBP is a closely watched cross for general Pound strength and is threatening 0.8400 ahead of this weeks key BOE Interest Rate Decision. Overall the GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.6037 and a high of 1.6172 before closing the day at 1.6095 in the New York session.

The Australian Dollar (AUD) tested 1.0200 after a strong RBA quarterly update that continued to focus on the mining boom and inflation pressures. The two way price action post NFP was contained with the market giving into USD strength. Overall the AUD/USD traded with a low of 1.0113 and a high of 1.0199 before closing the US session at 1.0138. UPDATE December Retails at 0.2% vs. 0.3% m/m.

Oil & Gold (XAU) had a subdued session even with the US data releases with a test of $1360 failing before moving back to $1345 support. Overall trading with a low of USD$1360 and high of USD $1345 before ending the New York session at USD$1348 an ounce. Traded in a $3 a barrel range on profit taking and easing Egyptian concerns. WTI Oil Closed -$1.50 at $89.05 a barrel.



TECHNICAL COMMENTARY

Currency

Sup 2

Sup 1

Spot

Res 1

Res 2

EUR/USD

1.3541

1.3571

1.3605

1.3826

1.3862

USD/JPY

80.54

80.93

82.20

82.93

83.22

GBP/USD

1.6059

1.6128

1.6130

1.6279

1.6299

AUD/USD

0.9964

1.0056

1.0140

1.0256

1.0300

XAU/USD

1308.00

1323

1345

1371

1379

OIL/USD

89.50

90.00

89.35

91.50

92.50





Euro - 1.3605

Initial support at 1.3571 (Jan 31 low) followed by 1.3541 (Jan 24 low). Initial resistance is now located at 1.3826 (Feb 3 high) followed by 1.3862 (Feb 2 High)



Yen - 82.20

Initial support is located at 80.93 (Jan 3 low) followed by 80.54 (Nov 9 low). Initial resistance is now at 82.93 (Jan 28 high) followed by 83.22 (Jan 27 high).

Pound - 1.6130

Initial support at 1.6059 (Jan 18 high) followed by 1.6010 (Feb 1 low). Initial resistance is now at 1.6173 (Feb 4 high) followed by 1.6279 (Feb 3 High).

Australian Dollar - 1.0140

Initial support at 1.0056 (Feb 2 low) followed by the 0.9964 (Feb 1 low). Initial resistance is now at 1.0256 (Dec 31 high) followed by 1.0300 (Big Figure Resistance).

Gold - 1345

Initial support at 1323 (Jan 31 low) followed by 1308 (Sep 28 low). Initial resistance is now at 1371 (Jan 20 high) followed by 1379 (Jan 19 high).



Oil - 89.35

Initial support at 89.00 (Intraday Support) followed by 88.50 (Intraday Support). Initial resistance is now at 90.00 (Intraday Resistance) followed by 91.50 (Intraday Resistance).





Written by Anthony Darvall