Egyptian mobile phone operator Mobinil
Investors had awaited Mobinil's results for the first major indication of how the political unrest that toppled Egypt's president and brought much of the economy to a halt would affect company earnings.
The first quarter of 2011 was unusual for Mobinil and for the whole country, Mobinil Chief Executive Hassan Kabbani said in the earnings statement. Egypt entered into exceptional turmoil that affected strongly the economic environment in general and the telecommunication business in particular.
Mobinil had to cope with a forced shutdown of several telecommunication services, the lack of public security, the freezing of business activity and a general economic slowdown.
Voice and Internet data were cut off in Egypt for several days during the 18-day uprising that ended the 30-year rule of President Hosni Mubarak.
Mobinil said first-quarter net income fell to 22.7 million Egyptian pounds ($3.82 million), missing analysts' forecasts, from 353.6 million pounds in the same quarter of 2010.
Six analysts polled by Reuters forecast, on average, that Mobinil would post net income of 243 million pounds. Estimates ranged from 204 million to 271 million pounds.
Mobinil shares fell 0.9 percent on Wednesday, while Egypt's benchmark index <.EGX30> was down 0.3 percent.
Mobinil is considered one of the more fortunate of Egypt's companies, since people continued to use telephones and Internet services during the turmoil, analysts said.
Kabbani said he saw improvement starting in the second half of March, as well as an increase in demand for smart phones and connected devices.
Data appetite is exploding, as demonstrated during the past period, where social networking, particularly via mobile, has been playing a critical role in political mobilization, he said.
We see an improving trend starting in the second half of March. We anticipate that the after-effects of the political turmoil and economic slowdown are likely to continue throughout 2011, but that the impact on our business will lessen as consumers gain more confidence.
Mobinil said in February it had lost 80 million to 100 million pounds during the political turmoil due to breakage and destruction of mobile stations and some of the company's shops, and delays in Internet services and short message service (SMS).
A collapse in tourism following the political turmoil also weighed on Mobinil's roaming fee revenue.
The firm's first-quarter revenue fell 4.5 percent to 2.43 billion pounds. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) declined 16.9 percent to 846 million pounds. Blended average revenue per user (ARPU) dipped 21.8 percent from a year earlier to 25 pounds per month.
The firm said it had limited growth in its mobile subscriber base due to a slowdown in sales activity and a shutdown of some of its shops.
Its total subscribers in the quarter increased 16.2 percent year-on-year to a total of 30.358 million.
(Editing by John Wallace)
($1=5.950 Egyptian Pound)