Come all ye young fellows that follow the sea, to my way haye, blow the oil down, and pray pay attention and listen to me, give me some time to blow the oil down. Those deep water tankers just in from the sea, to my way haye, blow the oil down, if you give me some grog, I'll sing you a song, give me some time to blow the oil down.
Ahoy there matey! If you have been sitting on the dock of the bay waiting for your ship to come in well baby it has just arrived. Yo-ho-ho a grand booty hit our shores. Oil prices fail at $75 a barrel looking suspiciously like a double top and closing below the 20 day moving average as the market seemed to be fearful to advance ahead of what turned out to be a reversal of fortune from last week's surprise drawdown in supply. Traders, or gentlepeople of fortune, for the second week in a row seemed to price in the results of the American Petroleum Institute report before it was released as it appears some of them have a good handle on what ships are or are not coming into the Gulf Coast. And shiver me timbers, once again the scallywags had it right. After the close the API reported by all the powers that be that US crude oil supplies increased by 4.3 million barrels, helped in part by a big rebound in crude oil imports. Those imports rose by 475,000 barrels a day back up to about 9.35million barrels a day a surge that seemed suggest that last week's big build was an aberration. If the Department of Energy confirms this sweet trade then oil bulls will be forced to walk the plank as the bears declare mutiny on this latest bull oil trend.
Why was the oil delayed last week? The three obvious conclusions was weather, the contango and the diversion of supply to other ports that promised greater treasure. Last week's supply drop seemed to separate oil somewhat from the ties it had bound to other markets at least temporarily. Oil closed lower as the stocks close higher and its direct inverse relationship to the dollar has been weaker. If the market breaks away from these ties it leaves the market more vulnerable for further downside pressure as the market will start focusing on weak seasonal demand and oversupply.
And speaking of demand, Bloomberg News reports that according to the MasterCard Inc. survey gasoline use slipped last week for the first time in four weeks as an unemployment rate above 9 percent and a hurricane that closed East Coast beaches reduced demand before the Sept. 7 Labor Day holiday. MasterCard Inc. reports that motorists bought an average 9.373 million barrels of gasoline a day in the week ended Aug. 21,That's 2.2 percent less than a year earlier and 1 percent less than the week before. Bloomberg quotes Michael McNamara, Vice President at MasterCard Advisors as saying, Although Hurricane Bill did not make landfall in the U.S., it did close a lot of beaches because of the riptide. And there are fewer people commuting this year and fewer taking long summer trips. From a pumping standpoint, we haven't seen it this slow in August since 2004, McNamara said. The API reported that gas supplies fell by 1.8 million barrels last week and distillates down 146,000 barrels.
The oil market seas are getting more choppy. Don't be a landlubber, go seek your fortune! Make sure you are signed up for the Phil Flynn energy blast and make sure that you are watching the Fox Business Network where you can see me each day! And for all of you that are asking when you can see me on the Fox Business Network it is usually around 1 central each day. And if you have a question you need to ask just email me at email@example.com or call me at 800-935-6487 to open your account. See all the services that PFGBest has to offer! We have many platforms and Forex as well as ways to sweep money from different types of accounts. Find out how!
Sell October crude apprx 7450 - stop 7620.
We're short October heating oil from apprx 19500 - stop 19700!
Sell October RBOB 19550 - stop 19900.
Buy October natural gas 310 - stop 305.
The Dan Flynn Corn & Ethanol Report
The Corn Gods have spoken !
We all anticipated this big break !
However we wanted to see where the buying exhaustion would happen.
Well I think the market told us for now.
In last nights action the The Corn market steadied out after yesterdays selloff everyone was
As I write the December Corn is 327 1/2 which is up 3/4 of a cent.
The range was 330 to 325 1/2.
I look for a contination pattern until we look for enough buying which will set up the next sell.
The current weather forecast could have traders looking for an early frost.
This is why I anticipate weather will rule the roost.
On the Energy Front we look to sell any rally.
Inventory number is out at 9:30 C.S.T.
Look for a build.