•Euro well supported ahead of 200-Day SMA
•Dollar/Yen bounces by Ichimoku cloud bottom; bullish outside day
•Cable still locked in rare up and down trading sequence
•Dollar/Swiss rally stalls out; eyes retest of recent trend lows
|EUR/USD - Setbacks on Monday towards the 200-Day SMA have been very well supported with the market bouncing from daily lows by 1.3420 back to and above daily opening levels by 1.3495. Overall in the short-term, we continue to see dips limited, with the risk for a fresh push higher to challenge and break above the key trend highs at 1.3740. Once 1.3740 is broken, we will then look to establish USD long positions in anticipation of a more medium-term USD rally. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.|
|USD/JPY - The bottom of the Ichimoku cloud has proved to be a formidable support for now and the pair has reversed course sharply to put in a bullish outside day on Monday. Look for an interim low by 94.55 and fresh upside over the coming days back towards the 96.70-97.85 zone. Only back under 94.55 negates and exposes deeper setbacks. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.|
|GBP/USD - Market price action remains extremely choppy with the pair failing to show any follow through from previous daily momentum. Since May 6, it has been up-down-up-down-up-down-up-down-up. We retain a mildly bullish bias and given the proximity to the 2009 highs from early January, we see no reason why this level won't be tested over the coming hours. Only a break back below 1.5060 will however delay the recovery structure. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.|
|USD/CHF - Some very interesting price action in the pair with all relevant moving averages coiling, a sign that we could be nearing a major breakout. Our bias is for a major upside break but we can not rule out the possibility for additional setbacks towards the 1.0865 area before the rally occurs. Any dips to 1.0865 over the coming sessions will be used as a buy opportunity. Price action has been extremely constructive on Friday but the market will need to break back above 1.1450 to officially take the pressure off of the downside. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.|
Written by Joel Kruger, Technical Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com. If you wish to receive Joel's reports in a more timely fashion, e-mail email@example.com and you will be added to the distribution list.
Joel Kruger publishes 6 daily pieces:
Tech Talk - A Daily Video Highlighting Technical Developments in the Overnight Session of Trade.
Monday-Friday (between 5:30am-6:30am EST)
Morning Slices - Morning Overview using Fundamental, Technical, Flow, and Quantitative Analysis (Includes Trade of the Day).
Monday-Friday (between 6:30am-7:30am EST)
Indicator of the Day - A Feature Report that Highlights our Most Significant Technical Indicator of the Day.
Monday-Friday (between 8:00am-9:00am EST)
Cross Country - A Midday Fundamental Update, along with Technical Analysis of Selected Cross Rates.
Monday-Friday (between 10:30am-11:30am EST)
Scandi Daily - A Specialized Daily Fundamental and Technical Overview of the Nordic Currencies. (This report is only distributed through email. Please contact Nordic@fxcm.com if you would like to be added to distribution.)
Monday-Friday (between 11:30am-12:30pm EST)
Daily Classical - A Daily Technical Overview of the Major Currencies.
Monday-Friday (published between 2:00pm-3:00pm EST)