EUR/USD closed higher due to short covering on Monday as it consolidates above the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2009-rally crossing. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signalling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If it extends last week's decline, the 50% retracement level of the 2008-2009-rally crossing is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.
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