Two top energy market operators redoubled their defense of speculators on Wednesday amid renewed concerns in the oil market, arguing that speculators are misunderstood and often too quickly blamed for price spikes.
The chief executive of CME Group Inc
A climb in Brent crude to over $115 a barrel and in U.S. crude to more than $105 per barrel prompted some to blame speculators for the run-up.
This is a three-year-old problem and one that is likely to continue for some time given the macroeconomic issues that we face in the commodity and energy markets, Donohue said at the Futures Industry Association conference.
Speculators obviously also are on both sides of the market. What gets lost in this debate oftentimes are the facts and empirical evidence, said Donohue. CME Group runs the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Oil prices have eased off their highs. But exchanges and others worry the recent run-up will embolden those calling for tough limits on the positions investors can hold in commodity markets, with the aim of preventing large players from controlling the market.
The Wall Street reforms enacted into law last summer gave the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission the power to set so-called position limits to curb excessive speculation in oil and other commodity markets.
The CFTC has proposed limits for energy, metals and agricultural commodities, though it has not finalized the controversial plan.
There's a sense that there are speculators and energy prices are up -- so that must be the cause and effect, without further analysis, said Sprecher.
I'm an engineer and my mind just says you can't make that leap. Those people may be trying to push that price down to $80, he said.
At the end of the day, we're all seeing more interest in commodities and hedging and the globalization of commodities that is largely driven by scarcity.
POLITICS AND PRICES
Speculators' net long positions in U.S. crude oil futures rose 2 percent to a record high in the week to March 8, according to the CFTC. It was the third straight record as prices hit their highest since September 2008.
The oil run-up in 2008 had sparked the first calls for position limits, drawing U.S. lawmakers into the debate. A raft of studies by the CFTC, exchanges and others concluded that speculators were not responsible for that spike.
But Bart Chilton, the CFTC's most vocal proponent for limits, quoted 10 studies by economists and academics that he said showed speculators do affect markets.
People say there's no evidence. There's been no studies -- that's just wrong, said Chilton, a Democratic commissioner.
Gary DeWaal, general counsel at brokerage Newedge, said the latest oil price spike would certainly give position limits more credence -- and not only in energy markets. Commodities of all kinds have been volatile this year.
The fact that a speculator could be benefiting from rising wheat prices at the same time that people are starving, that is just political dynamite, DeWaal told Reuters on the sidelines of the conference.
The thought is that if all these speculators fell out of the market, somehow the price of wheat is going to fall, DeWaal said.
The problem is, it ain't going to happen, he said. What's going to happen in fact is the opposite: the hedgers that need the markets are going to find their entry and exit made more difficult, and it will cause greater volatility in the price of basic products.
(Additional reporting by Roberta Rampton and Chuck Mikolajczak in New York; editing by Sofina Mirza-Reid, Dale Hudson and Leslie Adler)