Forex: Month End Review May 2011, USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD

on June 01 2011 1:27 PM

Forex: Month End Review - May 2011, USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD

May started off with a bang as CME raised margin requirements on Silver multiple times. 

Silver was down over 25% before recovering to close the month down 20%. 

This seemed to be the catalyst to spur on sell in May and go away phenomenon.   Market traders have long believed that the summer months are a great time to stay away from stocks and take profits off the table. 

Even though this seemed the case early on, S&P 500 was only down 1.3%, 17pts.  That's not considered to be a sell off by any means.  The S&P low for the month was 1,311 and closed at 1,345.

Greek woes came back to life after almost a year on hiatus.  Will they restructure wont they restructure? 

Here are some key observations from the month of May:

US dollar up against most majors except CHF and NZD...

Biggest Monthly Decliner's amongst Majors:

EUR/USD - down 406 pips, -2.7%

AUD/USD - down 295 pips, -2.7%

GBP/USD - down 259 pips, -1.5%

Biggest Monthly Gainer's amongst Majors:

USD/CAD - up 241 pips, +2.5%

NZD/USD - up 146 pips, +1.8%

Carry trade analysis, majors against YEN:  It was a risk aversion month where all YEN cross were down, higher YEN, except for CHF and NZD...

Cross currency analysis: Both EUR/CHF and AUD/NZD saw large losses...

EUR/CHF - down 516 pips, -4%

AUD/NZD - down 591 pips, -4.4%

See below for a breakdown in the graphs:

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Majors - Month of May

Pips Microsoft Excel

Majors - Month of May

% Microsoft Excel

Carry Currencies - Month of May

Pips Microsoft Excel

Carry Currencies - Month of May

% Microsoft Excel

Cross Currencies - Month of May

Pips Microsoft Excel

Cross Currencies - Month of May

% Microsoft Excel