5:55a GMT - A solid week of pips last week as we continued to sell the EURUSD every day of the week into a strong downtrend. In all the pair dropped a couple hundred pips and over 500 pips on the weeks high/low. That makes it nearly 1000 pips the pair has dropped in the past 4 weeks! A quick glance at the weekly chart will show you how strong this downtrend is.
Daily Outlook: Technically nothing jumps out at me signaling that the downtrend is weakening - we have a solid downtrend resistance capping last week's action and a long series of lower lows and lower highs. All of these are signs of a strong downtrend. Some traders might feel hesitant looking at various indicators showing oversold but remember that oscillators are not useful in a strong trending environment like we have now. In light of this strong trend I will continue to sell into rallies, looking at fibonacci retracments at 1.3680 and 1.3750 initially.
Trading Idea: Looking to sell near resistance levels (1.3680 and 1.3750). Targets from 1.3750 are 1.3720, 1.3680, 1.3645 and 1.3600.
As a reminder to everyone forex is a risky business - never risk more than you can afford to lose.