Resistance 3: 1.9700

Resistance 2: 1.9650

Resistance 1: 1.9600/10

Latest New York: 1.9568

Support 1: 1.9500/10

Support 2: 1.9450/60

Support 3: 1.9420


Rate bounces off support at the 1.9470 area; leaves a long bid wick suggesting the downside is a head-fake. Comments from BOE reverse the rate as traders panic on the sell-side. If long, need to be patient and wait for the panic to subside and the rally to resume. Rate finds stops layered under the 1.9600 area all the way down into active selling under the 1.9500 handle; if this selling is absorbed then the rate will recover fairly quickly I think. Rumors of UK inflation concerns keeps the rate buoyed above 2008 lows. Likely cross-spreaders on the move. A bounce is likely and aggressive traders can ADD if not already long. Spillover weakness from EURO still likely as would be strength. Continue to expect a lot of cross-trading; the cross-spreaders are having a field day with the Sterling crosses and I think that will continue through this week and into the next.

Data due Wednesday: All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)

4:30am GBP MPC Meeting Minutes

6:00am GBP CBI Industrial Trends Orders

2:30pm GBP BOE Governor King Speaks

Analysis by: written by Jason Alan Jankovsky


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