The Indonesian stock market has alternated positive and negative finishes over the past four trading days since ending the five-day winning streak in which it added nearly 130 points or 9.6 percent. The Jakarta Composite Index regained support at 1,430 points, and now the market it tipped to add modestly to those gains at the opening of trade on Wednesday.
The global forecast for the Asian markets is generally upbeat, with modest upside correction expected in most regional bourses after a couple of days of heavy losses. The automobile stocks have been under pressure in recent sessions but could level off - while the financials also are predicted to level off after heavy profit taking. The European markets finished sharply higher, while the U.S. markets ended more modestly in the green - and the Asian markets are likely to fall somewhere in between.
The JCI finished modestly higher on Tuesday, boosted by the financial stocks and the commodities. For the day, the index added 14.98 points or 1.06 percent to close at 1,434.07.
Among the gainers, Bank Mandiri jumped 6.1 percent, while Bank Central Asia added 0.8 percent, Perusahaan Gas Negara was up 2.4 percent and Telkom gained 1.3 percent.
Wall Street offers a positive lead as stocks moved higher throughout much of the trading session on Tuesday, although the major averages gave back some ground going into the close. The strength in the markets came as traders used the weakness in the two previous sessions as a buying opportunity.
Weak economic data helped to limit the upside for the markets, with a report from Standard and Poor's showing that home prices fell at a record annual rate in January. The report showed that the S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Composite Home Price Index for January fell 19.0 percent compared to the same month a year ago, reflecting an acceleration from a revised 18.6 percent year-over-year decline in December.
Separately, the Institute for Supply Management - Chicago said its index of activity in the Chicago-area manufacturing sector fell to 31.4 in March from 34.2 in February, with a reading below 50 indicating a contraction in the sector. Meanwhile, the Conference Board's consumer confidence index edged up to 26.0 in March from a record low reading of 25.3 in February, although economists had been expecting a somewhat more significant increase by the index to a reading of 28.0.
In other news, the Senate Finance Committee examined the progress of the Troubled Asset Relief Program in a hearing on Tuesday, with the results of the first six months of the $700 billion financial bailout determined to have been unsteady. The program puts taxpayers at risk for $2.9 trillion, the Special Inspector General for the TARP Neil Barofsky said at the hearing.
Additionally, General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) announced new rounds of incentives, including payment protection for job losers, to boost customer confidence and jump-start vehicle sales. GM unveiled its GM Total Confidence plan, whereby customers can get payment protection for the first 24 months of ownership. Meanwhile, Ford launched its new Ford Advantage Plan, under which Ford will provide 12 months of payment protection.
The major averages pulled back well off their highs for the session in late day trading but managed to remain firmly positive. The Dow closed up 86.90 points or 1.2 percent at 7,608.92, the NASDAQ closed up 26.79 points or 1.8 percent at 1,528.59 and the S&P 500 closed up 10.34 points or 1.3 percent at 797.87.
In economic news, Indonesia will on Wednesday provide February numbers for imports, exports and trade balance, along with March data for inflation. Imports are expected to fall an annual 41 percent, while exports are predicted to fall 36.6 percent and the trade balance is forecast to show a surplus of $1.97 billion. Inflation is expected to come in at 7.87 percent, down from 8.16 percent in February.
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