Comex Gold (GC)

Gold's recovery from 1309.1 resumes today and at this point, intraday bias is mildly on the upside for further rise. Nevertheless, we'd expect upside to be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1424.4 to 1309.1 at 1380.4 and bring fall resumption. Below 1325.4 minor support will flip bias back to the downside for 1309.1 and below. However, sustained trading above 1380.4 fibonacci level will turn focus back to 1424.4 high instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that a medium term top is in place at 1432.5 after gold failed two important projection target, 161.8% projection of 931.3 to 1227.5 from 1044.5 at 1449.6 and 100% projection of 253 to 1033.9 from 681 at 1462. Note that whole up trend from 681 (2008 low) might have finished a five wave sequence too. The fall from 1432.5 might now be in progress towards 1044.5/1227.5 support zone. On the upside, decisive break of 1432.5 is now needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, even in case of strong rebound, we'd expect another fall to extend the consolidation/correction from 1432.5.

Comex Gold Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart

width=480

Comex Gold Continuous Conract Daily Chart

width=480