The midday weather models have NOT backed off from the morning runs depiction of the heavy rains and storms which develop along the a cold front on October 9 -- 10. The Midday models still shows widespread heavy rain along the front in a manner very similar to what we saw this morning.

If anything the models are showing an even heavier band of rain over Northwest Arkansas into southeastern Missouri and into central Illinois that reaches over 5 inches!! Again what is holding up the front is the development of Low pressure on the cold front. Once that Low tracks up into the eastern Great Lakes... the front gets a chance to drive south and east into the Deep South. This means more significant rains for the Delta and the deep South into NC and VA October 11 -- 12... but because the front is moving... the rainfall amounts are significantly less. The data still shows 70% coverage over the Delta and the Deep South but amounts are much more reasonable...0.25 to 2.00

The weather  Models  show   several more systems  in the   11-15  day  over the  Plains and  and Midwest. .  

 

OCT 8

OCT 9

OCT 10

OCT 11

OCT 12

OCT 13

OCT 14

GLASGOW

22

17

13

17

18

24

29

BISMARCK

30

22

20

20

21

25

30

MINNEAPOLIS

42

34

30

28

25

24

29

PIERRE

35

29

25

22

23

29

33

G.ISLAND

44

32

27

29

25

30

35

DESMOINES

46

39

33

29

28

30

31

CHICAGO

45

48

36

33

35

30

32

GOODLAND

44

30

29

30

31

36

45

 KC

57

48

37

34

32

31

43

ST LOUIS

44

55

40

35

35

32

37

 INDY

44

60

43

37

40

31

32