RTTNews - The Indonesian stock market finished lower on Wednesday, marking an end to the four-day winning streak in which it had gathered nearly 110 points or 5 percent on its way to a fresh 12-month closing high. The Jakarta Composite Index slid below the 2,230-point plateau, and now investors are expecting it to move slightly further to the downside when it opens for business on Thursday.
The global forecast for the Asian markets is mildly pessimistic as the downside correction is expected to continue following recent sharp gains. Resource stocks are expected to weigh heavily on investors - particularly the oil service, steel, natural gas and gold stocks. Disappointing earnings from Brazilian miner Vale could add to the pressure on commodities. The European markets finished solidly higher, while the U.S. markets ended modestly lower - and the Asian markets are also expected to trend to the downside.
The JCI finished modestly lower on Wednesday, as investors locked in gains from the recent rally - particularly among the commodities and energy stocks.
For the day, the index fell 11.36 points or 0.5 percent to close at 2,225.81 after trading between 2,190.41 and 2,241.63.
Among the decliners, Adaro Energy fell 2.4 percent, while Energi Mega Persada shed 4.2 percent, International Nickel Indonesia lost 3.5 percent, Timah was down 3.6 percent and Telekomunikasi Indonesia slid 1.1 percent.
The lead from Wall Street remains firmly negative as stocks bounced around in negative territory through Wednesday's session in reaction to the day's slew of earnings and economic reports following an early move to the downside. The major averages all finished lower by modest margins, experiencing another lackluster session.
On the economic front, the Commerce Department said that orders for transportation equipment declined sharply in June, contributing to a substantial decline in orders for manufactured durable goods. Durable goods orders fell 2.5 percent in June following a downwardly revised 1.3 percent increase in May. Economists had expected orders to fall 0.6 percent compared to the 1.8 percent increase originally reported for the previous month. Excluding a 12.8 percent decrease in orders for transportation equipment, orders for durable goods actually rose 1.1 percent in June compared to a 0.8 percent increase in May. The increase surprised economists, who had expected ex-transportation orders to come in unchanged.
Equities saw some further downside after the Treasury Department said its $39.0 billion sale of five-year notes drew a high yield of 2.625 percent. Demand was much weaker than expected, with the bid-to-cover ratio coming in at 1.92 compared to the 2.58 posted in the previous auction. The bid-to-cover ratio is a measure of demand that indicates the amount of bids for each dollar worth of securities being sold.
Meanwhile, the markets saw little reaction to the Federal Reserve's Beige Book report. While the report indicated that economic activity continued to be weak going into the summer, it noted that most of the twelve Fed districts indicated that the pace of decline has moderated or that activity has begun to stabilize.
In earnings news, traders looked to quarterly results from Time Warner (TWX), Qwest (Q) and ConocoPhillips (COP), which reported earnings that largely beat Wall Street estimates. However, revenues fell short of expectations, a typical trend that has emerged amid the current earnings season.
The major averages staged a recovery attempt in the final hour of trading, although they remained stuck in negative territory. The Dow fell by 26 points or 0.3 percent to 9,070.72, the NASDAQ slipped by 7.75 points or 0.4 percent to 1,967.76 and the S&P 500 declined by 4.47 points or 0.5 percent to 975.15.
In economic news, the International Monetary Fund recommended Indonesia to continue its stimulus package and to follow a 'cautious' monetary policy stance.
The fund welcomed Indonesia's fiscal stimulus plan for 2009, underscoring timely and efficient implementation of the spending program. The Washington-based agency urged the nation to maintain some of the stimulus measures next year. A fiscal stimulus package of around 1.4 percent of GDP was announced in February 2009.
The Executive Board of IMF noted that private consumption supported by the fiscal stimulus package helped to maintain positive economic growth. However, another round of global risk aversion could adversely affect the nation's external liquidity, demand and growth prospects. To withstand these risks, authorities should strive to achieve the appropriate policy mix and promptly adjust it as required to preserve macroeconomic and financial stability.
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