Nearly a year and a half ago I was one of the first to identify a huge stealth stimulus the government, Fed, and banking system was creating - the strategic default stimulus. [Nov 25, 2009: America's Stealth Stimulus Plan; Allowing It's Home Owners to be Deadbeats] By the spring of 2010, Cramer and quite a few in the financial blogosphere began picking up on it. Now as we enter spring 2011, we are seeing truly how pervasive this stimulus has become per a whopping statistic on Mish Shedlock's blog. Regular readers will know that 1 in 10 American households has a mortgage is in default. But of that 10% of our home ownership class (I use the word loosely) living 'rent free', nearly 1 in 3 has not made a mortgage payment in 2 years. That's astounding.
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Another 17% has not made a payment in 18-23 months. So roughly HALF of defaulters have not made a payment in a year and a half. Mull that for a moment.
But as I wrote throughout 2010 that is a BOON to the economy. It's a hit to the banks and/or those who hold the securitized mortgages but the Fed is taking care of that problem [Mar 31, 2010: Ben Bernanke Content to Sacrifice American Savors to Recapitalize Banks and Benefit Debtors] [Apr 20, 2009: How Banks will Outearn their Losses] Just another method of ponzi scheme in the new paradigm economy.
You can do the math pretty easy on the benefits - let's say a $1300 mortgage x 24 months = $31,200 into the pockets of the home owner to spend on vacations, eating out, car payments, et al - that's a huge stealth stimulus. Just imagine what you could do with an extra $15-$16K a year. Of course many have mortgages in excess of $1300 a month. And we're not even discussing all the people who have not made a payment for 12 months, 15 months, etc.
Perversely, one of the major things that will slow down the economy is when these households are finally forced out of the home, and have to make a house payment again. Frankly, it's a wonder consumer spending is not doing better with so many Americans living in a household where those who make mortgage payments are suckers.