The price action was mixed in NY trading as the flows around tomorrow's month end continue to be volatile. US stocks shed another -1.5% in broad terms as details of Obama's massive budget and $1 trillion in proposed tax hikes led shares lower. The 7-year Treasury bond auction, the first since the early 1990s, was described as sloppy though the bid/cover of 2.1 suggests demand for US paper remains robust. Bonds were lower as demand for higher yields drove prices down. The 10-year rate added 7bps to near 3.00% while the 2-year was pretty flat at 1.08%. Gold lost another -$7 towards 946 as profit taking continued. The precious metal briefly tested 935/930 support and this is expected to be an interesting level as we head into the weekend.
EUR/USD edged about -50 pips in NY trading as failure to take out the 1.28 barrier put downside pressure on the pair. The 200hr SMA by 1.2710 and hourly trendline by 1.2670 now look like the next barriers to further weakness. USD/JPY was bid more than 30 pips despite the weakness in stocks as the yen safe haven myth continues to evaporate. The pair was sitting near the 98.50 pivot at the NY close and 99 looks like the next hurdle in the rally. USD/CAD surprisingly jumped about 95 pips to 1.2530/40 despite the pop in oil prices to near the $45/bbl level. Look for this correlation to resume once the murkiness around month-end subsides next week.
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|2/26||23:15||GMT||JN||Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing PMI||FEB||29.6||- -|
|2/26||23:30||GMT||JN||Household Spending (YoY)||JAN||-4.6%||-5.5%|
|2/26||23:30||GMT||JN||Natl CPI YoY||JAN||0.4%||0.0%|
|2/26||23:30||GMT||JN||Natl CPI Ex-Fresh Food YoY||JAN||0.2%||-0.1%|
|2/26||23:30||GMT||JN||Natl CPI Ex Food, Energy YoY||JAN||0.0%||-0.2%|
|2/26||23:50||GMT||JN||Industrial Production (MoM)||JAN P||-9.8%||-10.0%|
|2/26||23:50||GMT||JN||Industrial Production (YoY)||JAN P||-20.8%||-30.7%|
|2/26||23:50||GMT||JN||Large Retailers' Sales||JAN||-6.3%||-5.7%|
|2/26||23:50||GMT||JN||Retail Trade YoY||JAN||-2.7%||-3.0%|
|2/26||23:50||GMT||JN||Retail Trade MoM SA||JAN||-2.0%||-0.5%|
|2/27||0:01||GMT||UK||GfK Consumer Confidence Survey||FEB||-37||-39|
|2/27||0:30||GMT||AU||Private Sector Credit MoM%||JAN||-0.3%||0.3%|
|2/27||0:30||GMT||AU||Private Sector Credit YoY%||JAN||- -||6.0%|
|2/27||0:30||GMT||AU||RBA Foreign Exchange Transactn||JAN||- -||- -|
|2/27||4:00||GMT||JN||Vehicle Production (YoY)||JAN||-25.2%||- -|
|2/27||5:00||GMT||JN||Housing Starts (YoY)||JAN||-5.8%||-14.9%|
|2/27||5:00||GMT||JN||Annualized Housing Starts||JAN||1.001M||0.997M|
|2/27||5:00||GMT||JN||Construction Orders (YoY)||JAN||-27.3%||- -|
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