PRECIOUS MONTHLY- Silver, metal of the month; palladium most shining year-to-date

By Boby Michael: Subscribe to Boby's

December 1, 2010 5:48 PM GMT

Fresh news of China cooling, another no-impact G-20, deepening concerns of Europe's periphery debt and an unexpected Korean crisis helped shape investment decisions in global markets through November. The net impact was positive for dollar with its trade weighted index calculated for six major currencies rising 5.5 percent from its end-October level, compared with its year-to-date jump of 4.43 percent. Amid tensions, investors as usual sought safety with the greenback, which was also supported by a weak euro.

At the same time, worries about a lack of momentum in US economic recovery and the Fed's policy of printing more dollars prompted some investors to selectively invest in commodities like metals and oil.

The precious metals, however, were mixed in November, with silver outshining the rest with a 13.6 percent jump, followed by palladium which rose 7.75 percent. Gold managed to end the month with marginal gains of 1.87 percent while platinum fell 2.7 percent from its end-October level. See chart for a comparison.

The week of Korean crisis saw gold outshining its colleagues in the precious group, but on the month, silver and palladium remained strong, mainly helped by demand for cheaper alternatives in jewelry and industrial applications.

The US dollar index rose to 81.44 by Tuesday, its highest since September 20, before settling the month at 81.31.

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Spot gold ended the month at $1,384.45 per ounce, from end-October level of $1,359.05. Immediate delivery silver rose to $28.06 as on November 30, up $3.36 per ounce in the month. Spot palladium stood second in performance in November, with a 7.75 percent rise from October closing. It closed the month at $695 an ounce from $645 on October 29.

Silver and palladium - most shining

With gold near its record high price, many switched to silver for their jewelry and related needs, helping the demand for the white metal. Traders said such a trend was visible in markets like India, which consumes the largest chunk of gold and silver. Palladium, which is used as a cheaper alternative for platinum in some industrial applications, was mainly supported by uncertainties about its supply.

Plus, silver coinage program in many countries saw a remarkable boost this year, showing across-the-globe investor interest in the white metal, mostly from small-ticket buyers.

Industrial applications contribute almost 43 percent of silver demand and there was a slew of news in the month about confident silver companies like Silver Wheaton planning to produce more, foreseeing better demand going forward.

International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast the world to grow 4.3 percent in 2010, after falling 0.6 percent in the previous year.

Platinum and gold - yellow metal more in demand

Platinum, which is costlier than gold, more or less tracked the yellow metal through the year but it was down by $46 per ounce in November to end the month at $1,656.49. The metal for immediate delivery was up only 12.9 percent up from its end-2009 level, finishing last among the precious group of four.

Gold, however, fared better when performance after November 9 peaks of the precious metals were taken into account, showing the yellow metal's relative strength as a stable choice of investment avenue. Investors still find gold as the best available tool to hedge inflation, especially given bearish long-term outlook for major currencies like dollar and euro.

This article is copyrighted by International Business Times, the business news leader
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EUR/USD's decline extended further as expected as reached as low as 1.2496. The break of 1.2625 confirmed resumption of whole fall from 1.4939. Initial bias remains on the downside this week.

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