Injuries to a few starting quarterbacks have created some interesting betting lines for Week 11 of the 2015 NFL season. A few first-place teams are underdogs as they start their backups, but one last-place team is not an underdog for the first time since Week 1 because their starting signal caller is returning from injury.
Underdogs were incredibly successful in Week 10. They went 11-3 against the spread, and the New England Patriots were the only favorite that failed to cover the spread and didn’t lose outright. In Week 11, three games feature point spreads of one point or less, according to vegasinsider.com.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 11, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas casinos.
Tennessee Titans (+3) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Having combined for five wins in the first 10 weeks of the season, Tennessee and Jacksonville are two of the worst teams in the NFL. The Titans have had trouble scoring points, but Marcus Mariota does have two four-touchdown performances. With a three-point betting line in a battle of two bad teams, the smart move is to grab the points.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee Titans
Washington Redskins (+7) at Carolina Panthers
The Panthers continue to take care of business with 13 straight regular-season wins, and they should extend that streak over the visiting Redskins. Carolina is seemingly playing better every week, winning three of their last four games by at least eight points. Washington has taken advantage of some bad defenses, but they’ll struggle against the NFC’s top team. Four of the Redskins’ five losses have come by at least seven points.
Prediction ATS: Carolina Panthers
Oakland Raiders (-2) at Detroit Lions
The Raiders have played a difficult schedule in 2015, and they haven’t suffered a loss to a bad team. Despite their win over the Packers, the Lions are one of the worst teams in football. Oakland’s offense should bounce back against Detroit, who has allowed at least 33 points in four games.
Prediction ATS: Oakland Raiders
Dallas Cowboys (PK) at Miami Dolphins
The Cowboys have come ever so close to winning their first game since Week 2, losing four consecutive contests by one score with a chance to come back in the final minutes. Now that Tony Romo is returning to the field, Dallas should be able to get over the hump against a mediocre Dolphins team.
Prediction ATS: Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts (+6) at Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta’s 5-0 start looks like it was a fluke, considering the Falcons have lost three out of four games against sub-.500 teams. Only two of their wins have come by more than six points, and it’s not out of the question that they could be upset by the Colts, who are 2-0 with Matt Hasselbeck at quarterback.
Prediction ATS: Indianapolis Colts
St. Louis Rams (+2) at Baltimore Ravens
Even though the Rams gave up 37 points in Week 10, it’s not indicative of how they’ve played all season. St. Louis still has one of the NFL’s best defenses, and they should bounce back against the Ravens. Baltimore is just 2-7 on the season, finding different ways to lose each week, and they could find another one on Sunday.
Prediction ATS: St. Louis Rams
New York Jets (-2.5) at Houston Texans
The Jets have hit a rough patch, losing three of four games. But all of those losses have come against quality opponents, and they should return to having their way with poor competition. If T.J. Yates gets the start, the Texans could have trouble putting points on the board.
Prediction ATS: New York Jets
Green Bay Packers (PK) at Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings are unbeaten at home, having won five straight games, and they might be the most complete team in the NFC North. The Packers have probably the league’s second-best quarterback, but it’s becoming apparent with three consecutive losses that they don’t have much else.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota Vikings
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
Mark Sanchez is one of the best backups in the NFL, but Philadelphia is giving Tampa Bay too many points. The Eagles have been incredibly inconsistent, and they lost three out of Sanchez’s last four starts in 2014. Tampa Bay has been good on the road, defeating the Saints and Falcons, while barely losing to the Redskins.
Prediction ATS: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Denver Broncos (+1) at Chicago Bears
The betting line shifted in favor of the Bears when it was announced that Brock Osweiler would get the start at quarterback for Denver, but the Broncos won’t lose much by having Peyton Manning out of the lineup. Manning has been the worst starting quarterback this season, and Denver has a 7-2 record because of their incredible defense. With Aqib Talib returning, the unit should bounce back against Chicago with a good chance to win on the road.
Prediction ATS: Denver Broncos
Cincinnati Bengals (+4) at Arizona Cardinals
When all is said and done, the Cardinals could very well end up being the best team in the NFC. They have the No.1 offense in the NFL, and they rank third in total defense. Cincinnati is still one of the best teams in football, but it’s asking a lot of them to win in Arizona. All of the Cardinals’ seven wins have come by at least seven points.
Prediction ATS: Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers (+12.5) at Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks could very well blow out San Francisco like they did a few weeks ago, but Seattle is giving way too many points. Their defense is not as good as it was over the past few seasons, and even if the 49ers play poorly they’ll probably have a chance for a backdoor cover.
Prediction ATS: San Francisco 49ers
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at San Diego Chargers
Having lost five straight games, including four contests that easily could have gone their way, San Diego might be due for a win. The Chiefs are overvalued after their three-game winning streak. Kansas City beat Landry Jones and the Steelers, possibly the league’s worst team in the Lions, and Peyton Manning in the worst game of his career.
Prediction ATS: San Diego Chargers
Buffalo Bills (+7) at New England Patriots
The Patriots simply don’t lose to the Bills, and they’ve beaten Buffalo in 27 of their last 30 meetings. New England beat Buffalo 40-32 in Week 2, and they could have an even bigger win at home. Discounting the Bills’ win at Gillette Stadium last season, in which Tom Brady and many of New England’s starters rested most of the way in preparation for the playoffs, the Patriots haven’t lost a home regular-season game since 2012. Eleven of their last 12 home wins have come by at least seven points.
Prediction ATS: New England Patriots
Season Record: 76-65-5