As the NFL enters Week 16, a few teams continue to be dominant against the spread. The Cincinnati Bengals, Minnesota Vikings and Carolina Panthers have all covered the betting line at least 10 times in 2015, and they have a good chance to do so again this weekend.
Even though the Bengals have the NFL’s best record against the spread, they are underdogs on Monday night, according to vegasinsider.com. Cincinnati covered the betting line as a favorite last week, along with nine other favorites on the Week 15 schedule.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 16, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas casinos.
San Diego Chargers (+5.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Raiders are the better team, but they’ve been inconsistent this season and the Chargers have a good chance to cover the spread. Oakland is just 5-20-1 in their last 26 games as home favorites, via OddsShark, and San Diego could keep this one close until the end.
Prediction ATS: San Diego
Washington Redskins (+3) at Philadelphia Eagles
Washington has proven to be the better team this season, and there’s no reason why Philadelphia should be favored, even at home. Kirk Cousins is playing better than most quarterbacks in the NFL, and it could be another long day for Sam Bradford and the Eagles.
Prediction ATS: Washington
Chicago Bears (+3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Chicago has lost three games in a row, but they could have won two of those games if it hadn’t been for key missed field goals. Tampa Bay isn’t much better than the Bears, if at all, and the smart play is to grab the points.
Prediction ATS: Chicago
Carolina Panthers (-7) at Atlanta Falcons
The Panthers keep finding ways to win, and if they hadn’t taken their foot off the gas pedal against the Giants they would have had another blowout victory. Matt Ryan is second in the NFL in interceptions, and he’ll have trouble against Carolina’s defense, which should propel the Panthers to another big win.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
Dallas Cowboys (+6) at Buffalo Bills
The Bills have lost four of their last five games, but all of those defeats came on the road, largely against good teams. Now they return home to face the Cowboys and Kellen Moore, who was picked off three times in his debut and might not be much better on Sunday.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
Jacksonville Jaguars (+3.5) at New Orleans Saints
There isn’t much evidence that the Saints are any better than the Jaguars. New Orleans has lost to Detroit, Houston and Tennessee in recent weeks. Jacksonville’s offense can be explosive at times, and Blake Bortles should have a big day against the NFL’s worst defense.
Prediction ATS: Jacksonville
San Francisco 49ers (+9) at Detroit Lions
The Lions are playing much better than they did in the first half of the season, but they probably shouldn’t be favored by nine points over anybody. Only one of their wins has come by more than one score, and San Francisco’s defense could make this a close game.
Prediction ATS: San Francisco
Cleveland Browns (+12.5) at Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City has won eight games in a row and they are the hottest team in the AFC. During their winning streak, four of their six victories against sub-.500 teams have come by at least 14 points, making it a safe bet that they’ll blow out the Browns.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
Indianapolis Colts (+1.5) at Miami Dolphins
At 40 years old, Matt Hasselbeck is struggling to make it through the season. Miami does have a few big wins against bad teams in 2015, and the Dolphins have a chance to blow out the Colts in Week 16.
Prediction ATS: Miami
New England Patriots (-3) at New York Jets
The Jets have played the Patriots well of late, but New England is the smart pick, since they only need to win by a field goal to cover the spread. New York’s defense won’t have an answer for Rob Gronkowski, and the Patriots will be motivated as they try to clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs.
Prediction ATS: New England
Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have lost by 49 total points to playoff teams in the last two weeks, and they won’t be able to keep Sunday’s game within single digits. Pittsburgh looks like a legitimate Super Bowl contender, and the Steelers should score at least 30 points against the team that’s suffered more major injuries than anyone in the NFL.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
St. Louis Rams (+13.5) at Seattle Seahawks
Until the Seahawks stop dominating opponents, it’s going to be hard to pick against them. Seattle is on a five-game winning streak with four of those victories coming by at least 16 points. They should have no trouble beating the Rams, who are led by the NFL’s worst quarterback this season.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Green Bay Packers (+4.5) at Arizona Cardinals
The Cardinals are among a handful of elite NFL teams, and the Packers don’t belong in that class. Aaron Rodgers and Green Bay’s offense have struggled at times to move the ball, and they won’t be able to keep up with Arizona, who ranks first in total offense.
Prediction ATS: Arizona
New York Giants (+6) at Minnesota Vikings
There’s a good chance the Giants will be eliminated from playoff contention when the game finally starts. Without the suspended Odell Beckham Jr., New York doesn’t have any playmakers, and they could find it difficult to score against a good Minnesota defense.
Prediction ATS: Minnesota
Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) at Denver Broncos
With two of the NFL’s top defenses and two backup quarterbacks squaring off, there’s a good chance this game will be decided by a field goal. The Broncos’ defense looked somewhat vulnerable against the Steelers, and AJ McCarron has been better than expected.
Prediction ATS: Cincinnati
Houston Texans (-3.5) vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans are 0-4 this season in games that Zach Mettenberger has played, losing by an average of 15.5 points per game. One of those games was a 14-point loss to Houston, and Sunday could produce a similar result.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Season Record: 113-104-7