In Week 7 of the 2014 NFL season, no team is favored by double-digits, according to the betting odds at Las Vegas casinos. Three teams have been made underdogs at home, all of which have combined for just one victory on the year.
Week 6 was a big one for the favorites, as they covered nine of the 14 betting lines that didn’t result in a push. Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 7.
New York Jets (+9.5) at New England Patriots
After a slow start to the season, the Patriots are finally looking like the class of the AFC East. The Jets have trouble scoring points, and even with an improved performance in Week 6, they still lost by two touchdowns at home. New England’s last two wins have been blowouts, and the Patriots don’t lose at home. Thursday night should be more of the same.
Prediction ATS: New England
Cincinnati Bengals (+3) at Indianapolis Colts
The Cincinnati defense has allowed 80 points in the last two games, and they’ll have trouble stopping Andrew Luck and the No.1 passing offense in the league. It looks like A.J. Green will be out again with a toe injury, giving the Bengals trouble in Indianapolis, where the Colts have covered five of their last six games against the spread as home favorites.
Prediction ATS: Indianapolis
Tennessee Titans (+5.5) at Washington Redskins
Since replacing Robert Griffin III, Kirk Cousins has thrown more interceptions than any quarterback in the NFL. The Titans don’t have a great defense, but they are tied for fifth in interceptions. Washington’s only victory came against the worst team in the league, and they aren’t 5.5 points better than anybody.
Prediction ATS: Tennessee
Miami Dolphins (+3) at Chicago Bears
The Dolphins almost pulled off the upset against the Packers in Week 6, and they could be successful in their attempt on Sunday. The Bears are 1-10-1 against the spread in their last 10 home games, via OddsShark, and their passing attack could be somewhat stifled against a top 10 pass defense.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Cleveland Browns (-5.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars have gotten closer to getting a win in each of their last four games, but they could take another step back on Sunday. With Blake Bortles at quarterback, they have the worst offense in the league, failing to score more than 17 points in any game. The Browns proved that they are for real with their win over the Steelers, and they’ve scored at least 21 points in every contest.
Prediction ATS: Cleveland
Seattle Seahawks (-7) at St. Louis Rams
Despite their loss to the Cowboys, the Seahawks are still as good as any team in the NFL. Their defense should have a bounce-back performance against Austin Davis, who was exposed against the 49ers on “Monday Night Football.”
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Carolina Panthers (+7) at Green Bay Packers
The Panthers have played well against two potential playoff teams, after losing two straight contests by a combined 46 points. The Packers offense is running like a well-oiled machine, but Carolina should be able to put some points on the board. Green Bay had trouble with Russell Wilson in the season opener, and they could have a hard time stopping another mobile quarterback in Cam Newton. The Packers might win, but it should be a close game.
Prediction ATS: Carolina
Atlanta Falcons (+7) at Baltimore Ravens
Following their 2-1 start, it’s become clear that the Falcons are just not a good football team. Their two victories came against the Saints and Buccaneers, who are also under .500, and they are likely to lose a fourth straight game. When the Ravens win, they win by a lot, with three of their four victories coming by at least 20 points. Week 7 could be another blowout.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
Minnesota Vikings (+5.5) at Buffalo Bills
Teddy Bridgewater looked like a rookie against a top defense in Week 6, and he could have trouble against Buffalo’s top 10 scoring defense. The Bills are terrific against the run, and the Vikings totaled 426 yards on the ground in their two wins. All of Minnesota’s losses have been by double-digits, and the trend could continue on Sunday.
Prediction ATS: Buffalo
New Orleans Saints (+3) at Detroit Lions
After a 2-3 start and barely getting by the Buccaneers in their last win, it might be time to realize that the Saints just aren’t that good. The three-point spread indicates that New Orleans and Detroit are equal on a neutral field, but the Lions have been the much better team in 2014. Against the league’s No.1 defense, Drew Brees and the rest of the Saints offense will have trouble on the road, where they usually struggle.
Prediction ATS: Detroit
Kansas City Chiefs (+4) at San Diego Chargers
The Chargers have played about as well as any team in the NFL, with their only loss coming by one point to the first-place Cardinals. The Chiefs have kept it close in their last two losses, but giving just over a field goal against a 2-3 team is a safe bet for MVP frontrunner Philip Rivers and San Diego.
Prediction ATS: San Diego
New York Giants (+6.5) at Dallas Cowboys
If these two teams had played a week ago, the betting line would’ve been three points. The Giants aren’t as bad as they looked against the Eagles, and the Cowboys aren’t the best team in the NFL, despite their 5-1 record. Victor Cruz is out for New York, but Dallas won’t have offensive lineman Doug Free, who’s been a major part of DeMarco Murray’s success. The Giants might not win, but they should at least keep it close until the end.
Prediction ATS: New York
Arizona Cardinals (-3.5) at Oakland Raiders
The Raiders are ready to get their first win of the season. Derek Carr is coming off his best game as a pro, as Oakland nearly beat the Chargers. In Week 7, he should continue his strong play against the league’s worst pass defense.
Prediction ATS: Oakland
San Francisco 49ers (+6.5) at Denver Broncos
The 49ers are one of the best teams in the league, but they could struggle against the Broncos. No team has been able to slow down Peyton Manning, and Denver has one of the best defenses in the league. When the Broncos win, it’s almost always by at least seven points, and they aren’t likely to lose at home.
Prediction ATS: Denver
Houston Texans (+3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Houston has lost two straight games, but they’ve had a chance to win both late in the fourth quarter. Arian Foster could have a big game against a weak rush defense, and J.J. Watt has been so good this season that he should make a few big plays that give the Texans a chance to win.
Prediction ATS: Houston
Season Record: 50-40-1