The No.2 Oregon Ducks are expected to beat the No.4 Ohio State Buckeyes and win the 2015 College Football Championship Game. While the Big Ten Champions are underdogs, the betting odds have moved slightly in their favor since the two teams advanced from the semifinals of the College Football Playoff.
After their Rose Bowl win over Florida State, Oregon was a seven-point favorite. Just hours before kickoff in their contest with Ohio State, the Buckeyes are getting 6.5 points at most sportsbooks, and they are just six-point underdogs at some Las Vegas casinos.
Not only have the Ducks only lost one game this season, but they’ve been nearly as unbeatable against the spread. Including their win over Florida State, Oregon has covered 10 of 14 betting lines. Only TCU and Louisiana Tech have covered the point spread 11 times this season.
Almost all of Oregon’s wins this season have been blowouts. Their only win that didn’t come by double digits was a 38-31 victory at Washington State on Sept. 20. The Ducks’ big wins haven’t just come against mediocre competition, as they’ve beaten four ranked teams by at least 19 points.
Ohio State has been among the top teams against the spread, as well, totaling a 9-5 record. In their one loss, the Buckeyes were defeated by 14 points.
In the last four years, two national championship games have been decided by three points or less, including Oregon’s 22-19 loss to Auburn in 2011. A year ago, Florida State was picked by most experts to beat Auburn, and the betting line reached as high as nine points. The Seminoles were able to pull out the victory, but the contest came down to the wire, and they only beat the Tigers by three points.
If Monday’s game surpasses the over/under, it will be one of the highest-scoring national title games in recent years. The over/under is 74 points, though it was 75 points shortly after the matchup was set. The last eight title games have all failed to surpass a total of 65 points, which is what Florida State and Auburn combined to score last year.
Oregon is the second-highest scoring team in the nation, averaging 47.2 points per contest, including a 59-point game in the Rose Bowl. Five of their games have featured more than 74 total points, including two contests that ended with exactly 75 points.
Ohio State has been surprisingly good on offense, ranking fifth with 45 points per game, despite suffering injures to their top two quarterbacks. Their games have totaled at least 75 points on four occasions.