KEY POINTS

  • If Sanders and Trump were to face off today, Sanders would win by nine points
  • Biden and Bloomberg would likely win by 7 percent
  • These numbers reflect Sanders' surge and the effects of impeachment on Trump

For many voters eyeing the large field of Democratic candidates vying for the presidential nomination, one of the top questions has become: Who can actually defeat President Donald Trump in a head-to-head race? According to a new major national survey, Trump would have a tough time facing any of the front runners in a popular election.

New polling numbers from SurveyUSA finds that six Democratic candidates would defeat Trump if they faced off in the election this month: Businessman Andrew Yang, former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sens. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., former Vice President Joe Biden and former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg.

No doubt the most profound finding, though, is that Sanders is placed with the largest margin for victory, beating Trump by nine points. In recent times, Sanders’ campaign has experienced a significant resurgence, with most polls showing him neck and neck with Biden nationally and in several key states.

These numbers are also interesting because they do not appear to necessarily reflect the individual candidates’ popularity among Democratic voters. Although Bloomberg is currently positioned at fifth in the field, SurveyUSA’s poll shows him beating Trump by seven points, the same as Biden. And although Warren is holding at third place among the Democrats, she’s seen defeating Trump by only 3 percent.

It is possible that these numbers reflect not only Sanders’ growing popularity, but also the effects of the ongoing impeachment of Trump. While Americans have been generally evenly divided on whether Trump should be removed from the White House, opinion surveys show that Americans are gradually shifting toward supporting his conviction in the Senate.

A recent poll from Gallup shows that only a slim majority – 51 percent – of Americans want their Senators to vote against convicting Trump, but the share is rising. Also worth noting is how much higher support for Trump’s removal from office is right now compared to how many Americans wanted President Bill Clinton removed in 1999 – just 33 percent.

Although it looks as though the Senate will decline to convict Trump, the stain of impeachment will likely follow him well into November and could very well harm his chance at a second term.

The top candidates in the Democratic presidential nomination race (from left) -- Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Senator Elizabeth Warren, former vice president Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders -- squared off in the party's fifth debate of the 2020 cycle
The top candidates in the Democratic presidential nomination race (from left) -- Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Senator Elizabeth Warren, former vice president Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders -- squared off in the party's fifth debate of the 2020 cycle AFP / SAUL LOEB