


Glacier Production Increased, Lower Operating Costs and Alberta Royalty Incentives Enhance Montney Drilling Economics
(TSX: AAV, NYSE: AAV)
Three Three Six Six
months months months months
ended ended ended ended
Financial and Operating June 30, June 30, June 30, June 30,
Highlights 2010 2009 2010 2009
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Financial ($000, except
as otherwise indicated)
Revenue before
royalties(1) $ 96,377 $ 114,659 $ 195,154 $ 237,609
per share(2) $ 0.59 $ 0.79 $ 1.20 $ 1.65
per boe $ 41.75 $ 40.59 $ 45.00 $ 42.59
Funds from operations $ 45,605 $ 51,590 $ 95,945 $ 107,181
per share(2) $ 0.28 $ 0.35 $ 0.59 $ 0.73
per boe $ 19.76 $ 18.26 $ 22.12 $ 19.21
Net loss $ (22,279) $ (37,810) $ (9,124) $ (18,920)
per share(2) $ (0.14) $ (0.26) $ (0.06) $ (0.13)
Expenditures on fixed
assets $ 19,549 $ 15,719 $ 88,899 $ 68,362
Working capital
deficit(3) $ 20,831 $ 131,913 $ 20,831 $ 131,913
Bank indebtedness $ 273,529 $ 644,100 $ 273,529 $ 644,100
Convertible debentures
(maturity value) $ 148,544 $ 184,489 $ 148,544 $ 184,489
Shares outstanding at end
of period (000) 163,303 145,198 163,303 145,198
Basic weighted average
shares (000) 163,264 144,681 163,143 144,189
Operating
Daily Production
Natural gas (mcf/d) 107,821 124,990 97,640 121,498
Crude oil and NGLs
(bbls/d) 7,395 10,212 7,683 10,575
Total boe/d @ 6:1 25,365 31,044 23,956 30,825
Average prices (including
hedging)
Natural gas ($/mcf) $ 5.58 $ 5.63 $ 6.15 $ 6.06
Crude oil and NGLs
($/bbl) $ 61.80 $ 54.51 $ 62.12 $ 54.53
(1) includes realized derivative gains and losses
(2) based on basic weighted average shares outstanding
(3) working capital deficit includes accounts receivable, prepaid
expenses and deposits, accounts payable and accrued liabilities, and
the current portion of capital lease obligations and convertible
debentures
MESSAGE TO SHAREHOLDERS
Financial Results Supported by Increased Production, Lower Operating
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Costs & Strong Hedging Gains
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- Funds from operations for the second quarter of 2010 was $45.6
million or $0.28 per share. Funds from operations was supported by
increased production, lower operating costs, and hedging gains
partially offset by a 2009 royalty adjustment. As compared to the
second quarter of 2009, total funds from operations decreased 12%
primarily due to the sale of approximately 8,100 boe/d of assets in
July 2009; however, funds from operations per boe grew 8% to
$19.76/boe due to Advantage's improving cost structure.
- Average daily production during the second quarter of 2010 increased
13% to 25,365 boe/d compared to the first quarter of 2010. Production
rates increased due to the ramp-up of our Glacier production from 25
mmcf/d to approximately 50 mmcf/d, partially offset by approximately
500 boe/d of lower production during the second quarter due to the
disposition of non-core natural gas weighted assets representing
production of 1,700 boe/d. Advantage's corporate production increased
by approximately 15% through drill bit growth as compared to the
third quarter of 2009, after adjusting for asset dispositions of
8,100 boe/d completed in July 2009.
- Total operating costs for the second quarter of 2010 decreased 30% to
$24.6 million and decreased 14% on a per boe basis to $10.64/boe as
compared to $35.0 million or $12.40/boe during the second quarter of
2009. Per boe operating costs decreased 5% as compared to the first
quarter of 2010. Operating costs per boe have decreased as a result
of the disposition of higher cost non-core assets, an increasing
contribution of low cost production from Glacier and the continued
optimization of our other assets. Operating costs in the second
quarter of 2010 were slightly impacted by higher workover and
maintenance costs and additional costs required for the start-up of
our new Glacier gas plant.
- Total royalties paid during the second quarter of 2010 decreased 5%
as compared to the same period in 2009. The royalty rate as a
percentage of revenue was 15.1% as compared to 14.4% in the first
quarter of 2010. An increase in the royalty rate during the second
quarter was due to a 2009 Alberta gas cost allowance annual
adjustment which was paid during the period. Going forward, we
anticipate corporate royalty rates to decrease due to the recently
announced changes in the Alberta Royalty framework and benefits from
the royalty incentive programs resulting from our ongoing drilling
program at Glacier.
- For the three and six months ended June 30, 2010, our hedging program
contributed a net gain of $15.5 million and $24.7 million to funds
from operations, respectively. Advantage's consistent hedging program
has helped to stabilize and enhance our cash flow for capital
reinvestment requirements.
- In the last twelve months we have reduced our bank indebtedness by
58% and our convertible debentures outstanding by 19%. As at June 30,
2010, Advantage's bank debt was $273.5 million on a credit facility
of $525 million resulting in an unutilized capacity of approximately
$251.5 million. A total of $148.5 million of convertible debentures
remain outstanding of which $62.3 million will mature in December
2011 and the balance of $86.2 million will mature in January 2015.
- Net capital expenditures during the second quarter of 2010 amounted
to $19.5 million for a total of $88.9 million for the first six
months of 2010. Approximately 83% of our capital program for the
first half of 2010 was invested at Glacier whereby we successfully
completed Phase II of our development program in the second quarter
of 2010 which increased production capability to approximately 50
mmcf/d. Actual capital spending was less than our total capital
budget for the first six months of 2010 as we reduced Glacier costs
and improved well results. The remaining capital expenditures
included 4.5 net (5 gross) light oil wells in Saskatchewan, 2.8 net
(3 gross) wells at Nevis and 2.8 net (4 gross) wells at Sunset in
support of our light oil water flood project development.
Glacier Production Increases to 50 mmcf/d with Reduced Operating Costs
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during Q2 2010
--------------
- Total gross raw inlet volumes at our Glacier gas plant increased to
average 51 mmcf/d (8,500 boe/d) subsequent to our press release on
April 19, 2010 when we announced that our new 100% working interest
gas plant was brought on-stream. Advantage's net sales production
from Glacier during this period averaged approximately 48 mmcf/d
(8,000 boe/d). Glacier operating costs decreased from approximately
$8.75/boe ($1.45/mcf) to approximately $3.00/boe ($0.50/mcf) during
the quarter which has significantly improved the netbacks realized
for our Montney gas production. Operating costs at Glacier are
anticipated to further decrease through 2010 as additional start-up
costs were included in the second quarter of 2010.
- The Glacier gas plant is currently producing at its peak capacity
with several Montney wells constrained due to facility capacity and
several wells have yet to be brought on production that will replace
declines through the remainder of 2010.
- Since December 2009, twelve new operated Upper Montney horizontal
wells have been brought on-stream which have demonstrated an average
30 day IP rate of 5 mmcf/d per well. Three of these wells have
averaged over 8 mmcf/d with one well at 9.6 mmcf/d, despite facility
capacity constraints.
- Capital investment at Glacier during the second quarter of 2010 was
$15.0 million for a total of $74.2 million during the first six
months of 2010. Capital expenditures required to attain our 50 mmcf/d
target were lower than anticipated due to i) our successful drilling
program in 2009 and 2010 which demonstrated well productivities that
exceeded internal expectations and ii) reduced drilling and
completion costs.
Glacier Expansion to 100 mmcf/d (16,667 boe/d) On-Track
-------------------------------------------------------
- The expansion of our Glacier property to 100 mmcf/d is underway with
the deployment of 4 drilling rigs. To date, 6 net (6 gross) new
Montney horizontal wells have been drilled and are awaiting
completion out of our Phase III total program of 28 net (28 gross)
wells.
- A total of 4 net (4 gross) wells remaining from our first quarter of
2010 drilling program have been completed since spring break-up.
Results continue to be strong with test rates ranging from 5.9 to
11.2 mmcf/d and flowing pressures of 464 psig to 1,385 psig. A total
of 38 mmcf/d of new productive capability has already been tested
and is awaiting future tie-in. An additional 1 net (1 gross) well
from Phase II is awaiting completion at this time.
- Fabrication of a new processing train to facilitate expansion of our
Glacier gas plant to 100 mmcf/d has commenced and we are anticipating
equipment delivery to our plant site by year-end with construction to
begin in the first quarter of 2011. The targeted on-stream date for
our expanded Glacier plant is the second quarter of 2011.
Alberta Royalty Incentives Improves Montney Netbacks and Drilling
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Economics
---------
- On May 27, 2010, the Alberta Government announced royalty changes
which included incentives that have a positive long-term impact on
the netbacks and drilling economics for our Montney development at
Glacier. We view the Montney as being one of North America's most
economic gas plays with very strong investment returns at Glacier
supported by low operating costs and a favorable royalty structure.
- The most significant impact at Glacier is the change to the Natural
Gas Deep Drilling Program ("NGDDP") in which the qualifying vertical
depth has been reduced to 2,000 metres (from 2,500 metres) and the
program has been made a permanent feature of the Alberta royalty
framework.
- As a result, all Montney horizontal wells drilled at Glacier after
May 1, 2010 will qualify for a royalty incentive of $2.7 to $3.4
million based on a typical Glacier Montney horizontal well (total
length of 4,200 to 4,500 metres). As a result, the effective royalty
rate for a new Glacier Montney well is estimated to be less than 7%
for the producing life of the well.
- These changes have substantially enhanced the future drilling
economics and the value of Montney drilling locations. Advantage
estimates that the drilling economics of our Montney resource at
Glacier generates a before-tax rate of return in excess of 15% at
natural gas prices of $3.00 Cdn per mcf. This is due to the
operating cost efficiencies provided by our 100% working interest
gas plant, the decreasing capital cost structure, the contiguous
nature of our extensive land block and the substantial economic
enhancement created by the recent changes to the Alberta Royalty
incentives.
Additional 'Stacked' Formations above the Montney Provides Future
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Potential
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- To date, Advantage has a total of 38 net (47 gross) horizontal wells
and 20 net (21 gross) vertical wells penetrating the Montney
formation at Glacier. All of these wellbores have provided valuable
uphole information in regard to conventional and resource formations
which are 'stacked' directly above the Montney over our extensive
Glacier land block. At this time, we have natural gas indications in
numerous wellbores which will be evaluated in the future through
either new wells or recompletions of existing wells in a staggered
pace to our Montney development. Future Montney drilling locations
will serve to further de-risk the geographical extent of these
additional stacked formations. No new reserves were included for any
of the potential formations located above the Montney in our year-end
2009 reserve report.
- Advantage's first Nikanassin horizontal well was drilled before
spring break-up. Completion operations were conducted recently;
however, mechanical difficulties encountered during the drilling and
completion did not allow for an optimal evaluation of the well. The
horizontal well confirmed the presence of natural gas and will be
further evaluated. A decision to re-attempt the completion, drill
another horizontal well or utilize an existing wellbore will be
determined later in the year. Advantage continues to be optimistic on
the resource potential of the Nikanassin and other formations which
are present over our extensive land block at Glacier.
Hedging Update
--------------
- Advantage's hedging program includes 59% of our net natural gas
production for 2010 hedged at an average price of Cdn$7.46 AECO per
mcf. For 2011, Advantage has hedged approximately 28% of our net
production at an average price of Cdn$6.30 AECO per mcf.
- For 2010 we have hedged 34% of our net crude oil production at Cdn
$67.83 per bbl and for 2011 we have hedged 33% of our net crude oil
production at Cdn$88.90 per bbl.
- Additional details on our hedging program are available at our
website at www.advantageog.com.
Looking Forward
---------------
- Our current corporate strategy is to focus on the development of our
Montney natural gas resource play at Glacier, maintain financial
flexibility and optimize our cost structure and operating
efficiencies to deliver economic growth, particularly during lower
commodity price cycles as we are currently experiencing. The enhanced
financial flexibility resulting from the non-core asset dispositions
provides further support to our corporate strategy.
- Looking forward, Advantage is well positioned to deliver growth in
shareholder value. With a current inventory in excess of 500 Montney
drilling locations at Glacier and a growing inventory of
opportunities in our light oil and other natural gas assets,
Advantage is in an enviable position to provide economic growth.
- Our guidance for the twelve months ending June 2011 is as follows:
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Total
H2 2010 H1 2011 12 Months
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Production Average
(boe/d) 23,000 - 23,800 26,600 - 27,200 24,800 - 25,500
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Royalty Rate (%) 13% - 15% 13% - 15 % 13% - 15%
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Operating Costs
($/boe) $ 9.75 - $10.25 $8.50 - $9.00 $9.10 - $9.65
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Capital
Expenditures *
($ million) $120 - $130 $70 - $80 $190 - $210*
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* - Capital expenditures are net of total drilling credits of
$19 million over the 12 month period.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS
The following Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A"), dated as of
Forward-Looking Information
This MD&A contains certain forward-looking statements, which are based on our current internal expectations, estimates, projections, assumptions and beliefs. These statements relate to future events or our future performance. All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by the use of words such as "seek", "anticipate", "plan", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "may", "will", "project", "predict", "potential", "targeting", "intend", "could", "might", "should", "believe", "would" and similar or related expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance.
In particular, forward-looking statements included in this MD&A include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to spending and capital budgets; capital expenditure programs; the focus of capital expenditures; availability of funds for our capital program; expectations regarding the ability to raise capital and to continually add to reserves through acquisitions and development; the size of, and future net revenues from, reserves; our future operating and financial results; supply and demand for oil and natural gas; projections of market prices and costs; areas of operations; the performance characteristics of our properties; average production and projected exit rates; average royalty rates; and the amount of general and administrative expenses. In addition, statements relating to "reserves" or "resources" are deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the resources and reserves described can be profitably produced in the future.
These forward-looking statements involve substantial known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, including changes in general economic, market and business conditions; stock market volatility; changes to legislation and regulations and how they are interpreted and enforced, changes to investment eligibility or investment criteria; our ability to comply with current and future environmental or other laws; actions by governmental or regulatory authorities including increasing taxes, changes in investment or other regulations; changes in tax laws, royalty regimes and incentive programs relating to the oil and gas industry; the effect of acquisitions; our success at acquisition, exploitation and development of reserves; unexpected drilling results, changes in commodity prices, currency exchange rates, capital expenditures, reserves or reserves estimates and debt service requirements; the occurrence of unexpected events involved in the exploration for, and the operation and development of, oil and gas properties; hazards such as fire, explosion, blowouts, cratering, and spills, each of which could result in substantial damage to wells, production facilities, other property and the environment or in personal injury; changes or fluctuations in production levels; competition from other producers; the lack of availability of qualified personnel or management; and ability to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources. Many of these risks and uncertainties are described in the Corporation's Annual Information Form which is available at www.sedar.com and www.advantageog.com. Readers are also referred to risk factors described in other documents Advantage files with Canadian securities authorities.
With respect to forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A, Advantage has made assumptions regarding: conditions in general economic and financial markets; effects of regulation by governmental agencies; current commodity prices and royalty regimes; future exchange rates; royalty rates; future operating costs; availability of skilled labour; availability of drilling and related equipment; timing and amount of capital expenditures; and the impact of increasing competition.
Management has included the above summary of assumptions and risks related to forward-looking information provided in this MD&A in order to provide shareholders with a more complete perspective on Advantage's future operations and such information may not be appropriate for other purposes. Advantage's actual results, performance or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits that Advantage will derive there from. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists of factors are not exhaustive. These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this MD&A and Advantage disclaims any intent or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or results or otherwise, other than as required by applicable securities laws.
Non-GAAP Measures
The Corporation discloses several financial measures in the MD&A that do not have any standardized meaning prescribed under GAAP. These financial measures include funds from operations and cash netbacks. Management believes that these financial measures are useful supplemental information to analyze operating performance and provide an indication of the results generated by the Corporation's principal business activities prior to the consideration of how those activities are financed or how the results are taxed. Investors should be cautioned that these measures should not be construed as an alternative to net income, cash provided by operating activities or other measures of financial performance as determined in accordance with GAAP. Advantage's method of calculating these measures may differ from other companies, and accordingly, they may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies.
Funds from operations, as presented, is based on cash provided by operating activities before expenditures on asset retirement and changes in non-cash working capital. Cash netbacks are dependent on the determination of funds from operations and include the primary cash revenues and expenses on a per boe basis that comprise funds from operations. Funds from operations reconciled to cash provided by operating activities is as follows:
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
($000) 2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Cash provided by
operating
activities $ 49,550 $ 38,956 27% $ 98,690 $ 80,835 22%
Expenditures on
asset retirement 469 1,045 (55)% 1,861 3,622 (49)%
Changes in
non-cash working
capital (4,414) 11,589 (138)% (4,606) 22,724 (120)%
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Funds from
operations $ 45,605 $ 51,590 (12)% $ 95,945 $107,181 (10)%
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Overview
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Cash provided by
operating
activities
($000) $ 49,550 $ 38,956 27% $ 98,690 $ 80,835 22%
Funds from
operations
($000) $ 45,605 $ 51,590 (12)% $ 95,945 $107,181 (10)%
per share(1) $ 0.28 $ 0.35 (20)% $ 0.59 $ 0.73 (19)%
per boe $ 19.76 $ 18.26 8% $ 22.12 $ 19.21 15%
(1) Based on basic weighted average shares outstanding.
In
Funds from operations per boe increased when compared to 2009 primarily due to stronger crude oil prices and a continued reduction in operating costs. Although crude oil prices improved and had a positive impact on revenues, natural gas prices were comparable to 2009 and remained low. Through our successful commodity price risk management program, we were able to realize significant gains on derivatives that helped to offset the continued weak natural gas prices and improved funds from operations. When comparing the current quarter to the first quarter of 2010, our funds from operations per boe decreased 20% to
As a result of asset dispositions completed in 2009 and 2010 and changes in commodity prices, historical financial and operating performance may not be indicative of future performance.
The primary factor that causes significant variability of the Corporation's cash provided by operating activities, funds from operations, and net income is commodity prices. Refer to the section "Commodity Prices and Marketing" for a more detailed discussion of commodity prices and our price risk management.
Revenue
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
($000) 2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Natural gas
excluding
hedging $ 37,349 $ 40,482 (8)% $ 78,659 $ 97,342 (19)%
Realized hedging
gains 17,435 23,516 (26)% 30,101 35,902 (16)%
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Natural gas
including
hedging $ 54,784 $ 63,998 (14)% $108,760 $133,244 (18)%
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Crude oil and NGLs
excluding
hedging $ 43,516 $ 51,939 (16)% $ 91,766 $ 94,683 (3)%
Realized hedging
gains (losses) (1,923) (1,278) 50% (5,372) 9,682 (155)%
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Crude oil and NGLs
including
hedging $ 41,593 $ 50,661 (18)% $ 86,394 $104,365 (17)%
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Total revenue(1) $ 96,377 $114,659 (16)% $195,154 $237,609 (18)%
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(1) Total revenue excludes unrealized derivative gains and losses.
Natural gas, crude oil and NGL revenues, excluding hedging, were negatively impacted for the three and six months ended
Production
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Natural gas
(mcf/d) 107,821 124,990 (14)% 97,640 121,498 (20)%
Crude oil (bbls/d) 5,231 7,989 (35)% 5,370 8,331 (36)%
NGLs (bbls/d) 2,164 2,223 (3)% 2,313 2,244 3%
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Total (boe/d) 25,365 31,044 (18)% 23,956 30,825 (22)%
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Natural gas (%) 71% 67% 68% 66%
Crude oil (%) 21% 26% 22% 27%
NGLs (%) 8% 7% 10% 7%
Production was lower for 2010 as compared to 2009 primarily due to asset dispositions completed during these years. We closed property dispositions representing 8,100 boe/d in the third quarter of 2009 and 1,700 boe/d during the second quarter of 2010. As the most recent dispositions closed near the end of the second quarter of 2010, they have had a modest impact on this quarter and will be completely excluded from our financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2010. The lower average daily production was partially offset by production increases at Glacier, whereby our corporate average daily production of 25,365 boe/d for the second quarter of 2010 increased 13% above the 22,533 boe/d produced during the first quarter of 2010. On
We have now commenced Phase III of our Glacier development project which is targeting to increase production to 100 mmcf/d (16,667 boe/d) by the second quarter of 2011 and includes an active drilling program during the remainder of 2010 and into 2011. New production at Glacier will be brought on-stream to replace declines during the balance of 2010 and significant increases will be realized once facilities and infrastructure expansion work is completed in the second quarter of 2011. Therefore, we expect production to average approximately 23,000 to 23,800 boe/d for the second half of 2010.
Commodity Prices and Marketing
Natural Gas
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
($/mcf) 2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Realized natural
gas prices
Excluding
hedging $ 3.81 $ 3.56 7% $ 4.45 $ 4.43 -%
Including
hedging $ 5.58 $ 5.63 (1)% $ 6.15 $ 6.06 1%
AECO monthly
index $ 3.86 $ 3.66 5% $ 4.60 $ 4.64 (1)%
Realized natural gas prices, excluding hedging, were 7% higher for the three months ended
During 2009 and 2010, natural gas prices have remained low from continued high US domestic natural gas production, mild weather conditions, and the ongoing poor global economy that has negatively impacted demand. These factors have resulted in higher inventory placing considerable downward pressure on natural gas prices. Heading into the 2009/2010 winter season, we saw strong inventory withdraws which helped to modestly strengthen prices relative to the prior lows experienced during the majority of 2009. However, as we exited the winter, natural gas prices have significantly weakened again and AECO gas is presently trading at approximately
Crude Oil and NGL
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
($/bbl) 2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Realized crude
oil prices
Excluding
hedging $ 70.54 $ 61.13 15% $ 72.80 $ 52.74 38%
Including
hedging $ 66.50 $ 59.37 12% $ 67.27 $ 59.17 14%
Realized NGLs
prices
Excluding
hedging $ 50.45 $ 37.06 36% $ 50.17 $ 37.30 35%
Realized crude oil
and NGL prices
Excluding
hedging $ 64.66 $ 55.89 16% $ 65.98 $ 49.47 33%
Including
hedging $ 61.80 $ 54.51 13% $ 62.12 $ 54.53 14%
WTI ($US/bbl) $ 77.98 $ 59.62 31% $ 78.38 $ 51.46 52%
$US/$Canadian
exchange rate $ 0.97 $ 0.86 13% $ 0.97 $ 0.83 17%
Realized crude oil and NGL prices, excluding hedging, increased 16% and 33% for the three and six months ended
The price of WTI fluctuates based on worldwide supply and demand fundamentals. There has been significant price volatility experienced over the last several years whereby WTI reached historic high levels in the first half of 2008, followed by a record decline in the latter half of the year and into early 2009, the result of demand destruction brought on by the global recession. There was improvement during the last half of 2009 which has continued into 2010, and WTI is currently trading at approximately
Commodity Price Risk
The Corporation's financial results and condition will be dependent on the prices received for oil and natural gas production. Oil and natural gas prices have fluctuated widely and are determined by economic and political factors. Supply and demand factors, including weather and general economic conditions as well as conditions in other oil and natural gas regions, impact prices. Any movement in oil and natural gas prices could have an effect on the Corporation's financial condition and performance. Advantage has an established financial hedging strategy and may manage the risk associated with changes in commodity prices by entering into derivative contracts. Although these commodity price risk management activities could expose Advantage to losses or gains, entering derivative contracts helps us to stabilize cash flows and ensures that our capital expenditure program is substantially funded by such cash flows. To the extent that Advantage engages in risk management activities related to commodity prices, it will be subject to credit risk associated with counterparties with which it contracts. Credit risk is mitigated by entering into contracts with only stable, creditworthy parties and through frequent reviews of exposures to individual entities. In addition, the Corporation only enters into derivative contracts with major banks that are members of our credit facility syndicate and international energy firms to further mitigate associated credit risk. Our credit facilities also prohibit the Corporation from entering into any derivative contract where the term of such contract exceeds three years. Further, the aggregate of such contracts cannot hedge greater than 60% of total estimated petroleum and natural gas production over two years and 50% over the third year.
We have been active in entering financial contracts to protect future cash flows and currently the Corporation has the following derivatives in place:
Description of
Derivative Term Volume Average Price
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Natural gas -
AECO
Fixed price January 2010 to December 2010 18,956 mcf/d Cdn$7.29/mcf
Fixed price April 2010 to January 2011 18,956 mcf/d Cdn$7.25/mcf
Fixed price January 2011 to December 2011 9,478 mcf/d Cdn$6.24/mcf
Fixed price January 2011 to December 2011 9,478 mcf/d Cdn$6.24/mcf
Fixed price January 2011 to December 2011 9,478 mcf/d Cdn$6.26/mcf
Crude oil -
WTI
Fixed price April 2010 to January 2011 2,000 bbls/d Cdn$69.50/bbl
Fixed price January 2011 to December 2011 1,500 bbls/d Cdn$91.05/bbl
The derivative contracts have allowed us to fix the commodity price on anticipated production, net of royalties, as follows:
Approximate Production Average
Commodity Hedged, Net of Royalties(1) Price
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Natural gas - AECO
July to September 2010 47% Cdn$7.27/mcf
October to December 2010 48% Cdn$7.27/mcf
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Total 2010 59% Cdn$7.46/mcf
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January to March 2011 40% Cdn$6.43/mcf
April to June 2011 25% Cdn$6.24/mcf
July to September 2011 24% Cdn$6.24/mcf
October to December 2011 24% Cdn$6.24/mcf
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Total 2011 28% Cdn$6.30/mcf
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Crude Oil - WTI
July to September 2010 37% Cdn$69.50/bbl
October to December 2010 37% Cdn$69.50/bbl
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Total 2010 34% Cdn$67.83/bbl
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January to March 2011 41% Cdn$84.42/bbl
April to June 2011 30% Cdn$91.05/bbl
July to September 2011 31% Cdn$91.05/bbl
October to December 2011 31% Cdn$91.05/bbl
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Total 2011 33% Cdn$88.90/bbl
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(1) Approximate production hedged is based on our estimated average
production by quarter, net of royalty payments.
For the six months ended
Royalties
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Royalties ($000) $ 12,197 $ 12,791 (5)% $ 25,055 $ 28,871 (13)%
per boe $ 5.28 $ 4.53 17% $ 5.78 $ 5.17 12%
As a percentage
of revenue,
excluding hedging 15.1% 13.8% 1.3% 14.7% 15.0% (0.3)%
Advantage pays royalties to the owners of mineral rights from which we have leases. The Corporation currently has mineral leases with provincial governments, individuals and other companies. Royalty expense includes the impact of gas cost allowance ("GCA"), which is a reduction of royalties payable to the Alberta Provincial Government to recognize capital and operating expenditures incurred in the gathering and processing of their share of natural gas production and does not generally fluctuate with natural gas prices. Total royalties paid decreased for the three and six months ended
Our average corporate royalty rates are significantly impacted by the Alberta Provincial Government's royalty framework that was effective
On
As a result of the changes in the royalty incentives and royalty curves, we estimate an effective royalty rate of less than 7% for the life of our new Glacier wells. We expect our corporate royalty rate to be in the range of 13% to 15% for the second half of 2010. Alberta royalty rates will continue to fluctuate based on commodity prices, individual well productivity, and our ongoing capital development plans.
Operating Costs
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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Operating costs
($000) $ 24,560 $ 35,030 (30)% $ 47,276 $ 71,061 (33)%
per boe $ 10.64 $ 12.40 (14)% $ 10.90 $ 12.74 (14)%
Total operating costs and operating costs per boe decreased for the three and six months ended
General and Administrative
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
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General and
administrative
Cash expense
($000) $ 7,247 $ 7,456 (3)% $ 12,691 $ 13,539 (6)%
per boe $ 3.14 $ 2.64 19% $ 2.93 $ 2.43 21%
Non-cash expense
($000) $ 3,380 $ 392 762% $ 7,131 $ 1,689 322%
per boe $ 1.46 $ 0.14 943% $ 1.64 $ 0.30 447%
Employees at
June 30 129 158 (18)%
Cash general and administrative ("G&A") expense for the six months ended
Advantage's compensation plan includes a Restricted Share Performance Incentive Plan ("RSPIP" or the "Plan") as approved by the shareholders with the purpose to retain and attract employees, to reward and encourage performance, and to focus employees on operating and financial performance that results in lasting shareholder return. The Plan authorizes the Board of Directors to grant restricted shares to service providers of the Corporation, including directors, officers, employees and consultants. The number of restricted shares granted is based on the Corporation's share price return for a twelve-month period and compared to the performance of a peer group approved by the Board of Directors. The share price return is calculated at the end of each and every quarter and is primarily based on the twelve-month change in the share price. If the share price return for a twelve-month period is positive, a restricted share grant will be calculated based on the return. If the share price return for a twelve-month period is negative, but the return is still within the top two-thirds of the approved peer group performance, the Board of Directors may grant a discretionary restricted share award. Compensation cost related to the Plan is recognized as equity-based compensation expense within G&A expense over the service period and incorporates the share grant price, the estimated number of restricted shares to vest, and certain management estimates. For the six months ended
Management Internalization
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Management
internalization
($000) $ - $ 760 (100)% $ - $ 1,724 (100)%
per boe $ - $ 0.27 (100)% $ - $ 0.31 (100)%
In 2006, Advantage Energy Income Fund (the "Fund") and Advantage Investment Management Ltd. (the "Manager") reached an agreement to internalize a pre-existing management contract arrangement. As part of the agreement, the Fund agreed to purchase all of the outstanding shares of the Manager pursuant to the terms of the arrangement, thereby eliminating the management fee and performance incentive effective
Interest on Bank Indebtedness
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Interest expense
($000) $ 3,043 $ 3,439 (12)% $ 6,805 $ 8,355 (19)%
per boe $ 1.32 $ 1.22 8% $ 1.57 $ 1.50 5%
Average effective
interest rate 4.5% 2.2% 2.3% 5.2% 2.8% 2.4%
Bank indebtedness
at June 30 ($000) $273,529 $644,100 (58)%
Total interest expense has decreased for both the three and six months ended
Interest and Accretion on Convertible Debentures
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Interest on
convertible
debentures
($000) $ 3,451 $ 4,009 (14)% $ 6,835 $ 7,978 (14)%
per boe $ 1.50 $ 1.42 6% $ 1.58 $ 1.43 10%
Accretion on
convertible
debentures
($000) $ 1,116 $ 681 64% $ 2,220 $ 1,363 63%
per boe $ 0.48 $ 0.24 100% $ 0.51 $ 0.24 113%
Convertible
debentures
maturity value at
June 30 ($000) $148,544 $184,489 (19)%
Interest on convertible debentures for the three and six months ended
Depletion, Depreciation and Accretion
Three months ended Six months ended
June 30 June 30
2010 2009 % change 2010 2009 % change
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Depletion,
depreciation and
accretion ($000) $ 58,875 $ 72,177 (18)% $110,896 $142,099 (22)%
per boe $ 25.51 $ 25.55 -% $ 25.57 $ 25.47 -%
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27th, 2011
10:14pm