"Concussion" is the word of the day when talking about the Monday Night Football matchup. Alex Smith is technically listed as "questionable", but his status is much closer to probable given how his week went. Jay Cutler wasn't so lucky, so Jason Campbell takes over the reigns. Let's take a closer look at why I think the Bears are getting overlooked in this game.
The look ahead line for this game had the 49ers as -5 favorites. Keep in mind this was before the concussions suffered by Alex Smith and Jay Cutler. The game has remained off the board up until now, where it re-opens at -6.5/-7 (odds from SBRforum). I thought the original line was inflated to begin with, so adding two more points up to a key number is even more enticing.
The 49ers are a top team, but I see some glaring weaknesses in the advanced stats that don't seem to be accounted for in the line. This number is an overreaction to the Jay Cutler-to-Jason Campbell situation. If I was setting this line, I'd put it at -4.
Perception is Reality?