UFC on FOX 4: Shogun vs. Vera Predictions: The Prelims

on August 03 2012 7:48 PM

Featherweight Bout: Cole Miller (18-6) vs. Nam Phan (17-10) Cole Miller had a disappointing showing in his first showing a featherweight earlier this year and is out to make a statement against fellow veteran of “The Ultimate Fighter” reality show, Nam Phan. Miller has a seven-inch height advantage and huge reach advantage against Phan, which he will likely use to keep it on the feet and utilize kicks and his jab. If Miller can prevent Phan from getting inside, he should be able to cruise to a decision. Prediction: Cole Miller via Unanimous Decision Light Heavyweight Bout: Phil Davis (9-1) vs. Wagner Prado (6-0) Wagner Prado gets thrown right into the deep end in his UFC debut when he takes on elite 205-pounder Phil Davis. Unless Prado can knock Davis out early, he is going to get taken down repeatedly and submitted or beat into oblivion. Davis will be hungry after being mauled by Rashad Evans in his last fight and make a statement against the overmatched Prado. Prediction: Phil Davis via Submission – Round 2 Featherweight Bout: Josh Grispi (14-3) vs. Rani Yahya (16-7) It is wild to think that in January 2011 Josh Grispi was supposed to fight Jose Aldo for the UFC featherweight championship. Since then, the 23-year-old has fallen from grace and lost two-straight fights. In Grispi’s first fight in over a year, he takes on another fighter who has been away from the cage for 12-months, jiu-jitsu wizard Rani Yahya. It is difficult to tell where both men stand at this point in their career and how much they have progressed since their last fight. Fighting Yahya on the ground is dangerous for anyone, and it’s no different for Grispi. Yahya will be looking to drag the fight to the mat from the outset, and if he can there is a good chance Grispi will wind up tapping. Prediction: Rani Yahya via Submission – Round 2 Heavyweight Bout: Philip De Fries (8-1, 1 NC) vs. Oli Thompson (9-3) Both of these heavyweights will be desperate to pick up their first UFC victories after being knocked silly in their organizational debuts earlier this year. De Fries is a strong submission artist for a heavyweight and like most British fighters, Oli Thompson is not the most comfortable fighter when it comes to competing off his back. I see Thompson fending off the submissions long enough to make it to the final bell, but he is not going to win the fight. Prediction: Philip De Fries via Unanimous Decision Featherweight Bout: Manny Gamburyan (11-7) vs. Michihiro Omigawa (13-11-1) Manny Gamburyan and Michihiro Omigawa really need to win at UFC on FOX 4, especially Gamburyan who has lost three-straight and now won a fight since April 2010. Omigawa has a history of wilting against fighters who are able to take him to the ground and control him there, so that Gamburyan fights smart that is where he should be looking to take the fight. I expect this to be a cautious and fairly slow-paced fight due to how badly both men need the win. Look for Gamburyan to wear Omiagawa out with his grappling and take two of three rounds for a close victory on the judge’s scorecards. Prediction: Manny Gamburyan via Unanimous Decision Flyweight Bout: John Moraga (10-1) vs. Ulysses Gomez (9-2) The UFC has started to thicken up the flyweight division in the past month or so and two of the new additions are John Moraga and Ulysses Gomez, both of which are going to make their UFC debut in the opening fight of the night at UFC on FOX 4. The 125-pound fighters always deliver action, and I expect this fight to be no different. Unfortunately for Moraga, he is overmatched in this fight against Gomaz, a man who has shared the cage with some of the best flyweights out there. There aren’t many flyweights out there with the power to finish fights, but Gomez is one of those guys. Look for him to make a splash in his Octagon debut and immediately place himself amongst the top contenders in the UFC’s newest weight class. Prediction: Ulysses Gomez via TKO – Round 2

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