The Euro saw a volatile session during last week's trading. The Euro began last week's trading with a bullish trend vs. the Dollar and the Yen. However the Euro then saw sharp drops and by the end of the week, resumed to its previous levels.
The Euro had a rising trend with the beginning of the week as positive data from the Euro-Zone supported the 16-nations currency. The German Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.6% in June, beating expectations for a 0.2% rise. The report suggested that inflation in Germany rose for the 4th consecutive time, reassuring investors that the German economy is recovering. The European Industrial New Orders report also provided an unexpected positive data. The report showed that industrial orders in the Euro-Zone rose by 2.8% in May, well above expectations for a 0.1% drop.
However, by the end of the trading week, the Euro erased its profits, as the European Bank Stress Tests failed to reassure investors concerns from a possible sovereign crisis. The tests showed that merely 7 banks have flunked the stress test, out of 91 major banks that were tested. The supposedly positive data failed to create an impact in the market as investors felt that the tests may not have been strict enough. However, traders should take under consideration that European governments are putting a lot of efforts in the attempt to convince investors regarding the reliability of the tests results.
As for the week ahead, a batch of data is expected from the Euro-Zone. Traders are advised to focus on the German Preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI), which will prove if the German inflation is indeed rising as last week's PPI data showed. Traders should also keep in mind the affects of the bank stress tests, as these results will continue to impact the market this week.