Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd
The Israel-based company also sees its more profitable branded business more than doubling over that time, as it reduces its dependence on its biggest-selling drug, the Copaxone multiple sclerosis treatment.
As part of its forecasts, given during its investor event in New York, Teva projected the global market for generics would grow to $135 billion to $150 billion by 2015, from around $80 billion today.
Among factors driving the overall growth are more opportunities in countries where generics account for a small amount of drug sales, greater government reforms emphasizing cost savings and the $150 billion worth of brand name drugs losing patent protection in the next five years.
Teva also targeted growing its market-leading share of the U.S. generics market to 35 percent by 2015, up from an estimated 22 percent.
Teva held its meeting, which was broadcast over the Internet, to give Wall Street a strategic update and its view of the business through 2015.
Teva and other generic drugmakers have posted strong share price gains and outperformance over the past year, lifted by optimism that U.S. health reform efforts will lead to more use of lower-cost generics and by bullish forecasts for 2010.
In 2010, Teva has said it is expecting earnings per share growth of around 35 percent. Spurring the increase is the launch of a generic version of Pfizer Inc's
Fueled by acquisitions, Israel-based Teva has become the dominant player in the generic drug industry. Its latest major deal was the $7.5 billion purchase of rival generic drugmaker Barr Pharmaceuticals, completed in December 2008.
But Teva's biggest product is a brand-name drug, Copaxone, and investors have been concerned about the ability of Teva to protect the medicine from competition.
On Thursday, Teva executives said they believed a pure generic version of Copaxone was unlikely and that any company making a follow-up version of the drug would need to conduct significant studies.
We believe any follow on to Copaxone will require comprehensive clinical trials, Chief Executive Shlomo Yanai said.
Teva shares have risen about 34 percent since the start of 2009, outperforming the 13 percent increase for the NYSE Arca Pharmaceutical index <.DRG> of large drugmakers, but a smaller rise than for U.S. generic rivals Mylan Inc
Teva's U.S. shares closed down 36 cents, or 0.6 percent, at $56.84 on Nasdaq.
(Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Richard Chang)