RTTNews - Ahead of the long holiday weekend marking Asarnha Bucha, the Thai stock market had finished lower in three straight sessions, giving up 18 points or 3 percent in that span. The Stock Exchange of Thailand is falling towards support at 580 points, and now analysts say the market could crash through that level by the opening of trade on Wednesday.
The global forecast for the Asian markets is laced with pessimism as investors are likely to be cautious ahead of the opening of corporate reporting season for the second quarter. A steady decline in commodities for the fifth straight day also is expected to weigh on investors. The European and U.S. markets finished sharply lower, and the Asian bourses are tipped to follow that lead.
The SET finished modestly lower last Friday, thanks to weakness among the energy stocks. For the day, the index eased 2.94 points or 0.50 percent to close at 583.48 after trading between 579.22 and 586.03. Volume was 1.541 billion shares worth 10.958 billion baht.
Among the actives, energy giant PTT was down 0.87 percent, while PTT Exploration and Production dropped 1.55 percent, PTT Aromatics was off 0.57 percent, coal producer Banpu added 0.31 percent and Siam Commercial Bank jumped 1.44 percent.
The lead from Wall Street is broadly negative as stock finished sharply lower on Tuesday, with traders doing some profit taking on the day amid a lack of significant economic data to drive trading. The major averages all closed lower by considerable margins, with the sell off accelerating late in the session. Cashing in on recent gains, traders braced for what is expected to be a dreary earnings reporting season, with aluminum producer Alcoa (AA) set to report after the close of trading on Wednesday.
Aside from the earnings data on tap for the second half of the week, traders are also looking ahead to a series of economic reports on employment, international trade and consumer sentiment, with expectations deflated following disheartening employment data last week.
Earlier today, the results of the Treasury's auction of $35 billion worth of three-year notes cooled investor anxiety in regards to rising interest rates amid the recessionary economic conditions. The sale drew a high-yield of 1.519 percent and attracted moderately strong demand, with the bid-to-cover ratio coming in at 2.62. The bid-to-cover ratio is a measure of demand that indicates the amount of bids for each dollar worth of securities being sold.
Monday, an auction of 10-year Treasury Inflation Protect Securities, or TIPS, drew a yield of 1.92 percent and a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.51, its highest in nine years. Traders will also look the Treasury's sale of $19 billion worth standard ten-year notes on Wednesday. The results of the standard ten-year auction and the sale of TIPS will be closely watched by investors, who will compare the yields to gauge the prospect of near-term inflation.
The government has continued to sell bonds in record amounts to fund its accelerated stimulus spending, while recent comments from the Obama administration have led to rampant speculation regarding a second stimulus package.
The major averages all finished lower, seeing further downside in late day trading. The Dow fell 161.27 points or 1.9 percent to 8,163.60, the NASDAQ closed down 41.23 points or 2.3 percent at 1,746.17, while the S&P 500 dropped by 17.69 or 2 percent at 881.03.
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