The Thai stock market is currently riding a three-day winning streak, ahead of Tuesday's market holiday for Coronation Day. The Stock Exchange of Thailand broke through resistance to close above 500 points for the first time in six months, but analysts warn that the market could fall right back below that level again at the opening of trade on Wednesday.
The global forecast for the Asian markets is fairly pessimistic, with many of the markets expected to consolidate after solid winning streaks. The financials are particularly likely to fall under pressure ahead of the results of the stress tests for U.S. banks, due out on Thursday. The European markets ended mixed, while the U.S. markets finished with modest losses - and the Asian markets are also expected to track lower.
The TSE finished sharply higher on Monday, powered by gains among the energy stocks and the financials. For the day, the index jumped 14.57 points or 2.96 percent to close at the daily high of 506.26 after dipping as low as 497.81. Volume was 4.73 billion shares worth 20.262 billion baht.
Among the actives, energy giant PTT surged 5.28 percent, while PTT Exploration and Production jumped 5.31 percent, PTT Aromatics added 2.08 percent, Kasikornbank was up 3.81 percent, Siam Commercial Bank gained 4.15 percent, Bangkok Bank soared 7.1 percent and Siam Cement eased 0.41 percent.
Wall Street puts forth a negative lead as stocks saw some weakness during trading on Tuesday, as traders cashed in on the standout gains that were posted in the previous session. Nonetheless, the major averages ended the session well off their worst levels of the day. While profit taking contributed to the lower close, the major averages managed to hold onto the bulk of Monday's gains, which is likely to be seen as a positive sign for the markets. Some upbeat remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke may have helped to limit the downside.
Earlier in the day, Bernanke testified before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, noting that recent data has suggested that the pace of contraction in the U.S. economy may be slowing. While the Fed chairman also said that recent data shows some signs that the beleaguered housing market may be bottoming, he noted that the available indicators of business investment remain extremely weak.
Looking forward, Bernanke said economic activity is expected to bottom out then turn up later this year. Nonetheless, he noted that the rate of growth of real economic activity is likely to remain below its longer-run potential for a while. Minneapolis Fed President Gary Stern made similar remarks, predicting that an improvement in the economic is not too far off. While Stern said the pace of expansion is likely to be subdued for a time, he forecast a resumption of healthy growth by the middle of 2010.
Backing up the assertions from the Fed officials, the Institute for Supply Management released a report showing a bigger than expected slowdown in the pace of contraction in service sector activity in the month of April. The report showed that the ISM's index of activity in the service sector rose to 43.7 in April from 40.8 in March, with a reading below 50 indicating a contraction in the sector. Economists had been expecting a more modest increase to a reading of 42.2. The ISM released a similar report last Friday showing a bigger than expected slowdown in the pace of contraction in manufacturing activity.
The major averages staged a notable recovery attempt in late-day trading but still ended the session modestly lower. The Dow closed down 16.09 points or 0.2 percent at 8,410.65, the NASDAQ closed down 9.44 points or 0.5 percent at 1,754.12 and the S&P 500 closed down 3.44 points or 0.4 percent at 903.80.
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